Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX 

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9.5, Spurs -9.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9.5, Spurs -9.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9.5, Spurs -9.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 23-18 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 36 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 15 points. Rudy Gobert and Naz Reid each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.7% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 42-50 this season and their O/U record is 41-51.

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. De'Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper each led the team in points in that game with 24 while Stephon Castle was next on the team with 20 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Luke Kornet led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.7% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 52-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 41-51.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 62-20 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 32-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 23-18 road record this year. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the 2 seeded Spurs and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all evened up 2-2 after the Timberwolves won game 4 of this series by a score of 114-109. The Timberwolves won the 1st game of this series and then lost 2 games in a row, but they have bounced back now with a win in game 4. They put up a really good fight to win that one at home and force another home game in this series, but the Timberwolves still barely beat the Spurs while they were missing their best player. Wemby was ejected from the game early on, only playing 12 minutes, yet the Timberwolves still found themselves trailing late into the game and needed a big comeback in the 4th quarter. Now they have some momentum going back to San Antonio, but the Spurs have looked like the better team in this series since that game 1 at home and they are going to bring their best effort to answer that loss and get out ahead in the series again. The Spurs still look in control of this series, so look for them to answer that loss with a better effort at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 12, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 114 Timberwolves 102.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 19-28 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 1-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 8-4 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 27-18 UNDER after playing a home game. 40-25 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 

San Antonio Spurs: 11-5 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite. 9-3 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 34-22 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 11-5 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out For Season - Leg.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

“When every team is missing their best player, everybody plays free. They get more shots, more confident. So I think it was a lot harder on us.” - Anthony Edwards after their win against the Spurs in the 4th game of this series on Sunday. 

“Just trying to be what the team needed me to be. I think I did OK. Obviously the main goal is to win. We didn't get that done.” - Dylan Harper after their loss against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Sunday. 

PG Ayo Dosunmu

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)