Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/04/2026

Game Time: TBD, Monday, May 4, 2026

Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX 

Where to Watch:  TBD

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +13.5, Spurs -13.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +13.5, Spurs -13.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +13.5, Spurs -13.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Harry Gagnon is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 21-11-1 NBA RUN for +$8,980 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 23-18 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. Jaden McDaniels led the team in points in that game with 32 while Terrence Shannon Jr. was next on the team with 24 points. Rudy Gobert led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 45.7% from the field, 24.1% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-48 this season and their O/U record is 38-50.

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers 3 times in a row. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 21 while Julian Champagnie was next on the team with 19 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 54.7% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 69% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 50-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 38-50.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 62-20 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 32-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 23-18 road record this year. This is game 1 of a 7-game series between the 2 seeded Spurs and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves have been rolling lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and coming off a 4-2 series win over the Nuggets. They were crushing the Nuggets throughout that series and even lost a few of their starters, including their best player Anthony Edwards, but they still dug deep in that series and found a way to end it without him. Now they are taking on one of the best teams in the NBA this season, but they definitely aren't in a great position here. The Timberwolves haven't looked nearly as good this season without Edwards on the court and they will likely have a let down after rallying in game 6 to kick the Nuggets out of the playoffs on their home floor without their best player. The Spurs have been one of the best home teams in the NBA this year and they have been rolling lately too. They are also 7-3 in their last 10 games and were running really hot entering the playoffs. They also ended their series against the Trail Blazers in 5 games and did slip up at home, but they crushed in game 1 of that series and now have a lot of momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row. Look for the Spurs to continue rolling on their home court here and take advantage of a Timberwolves team that is missing multiple key players. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 4, 2026 (start time TBD) is Spurs 120 Timberwolves 101.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 8-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 24-17 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 18-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 8-4 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 18-10 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

San Antonio Spurs: 3-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 4-7 ATS at home against Northwest division opponents. 24-15 UNDER as a home favorite. 10-4 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 26-19 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  K. Anderson (SF) Day To Day - Illness. A. Dosunmu (SG) Day To Day - Calf. A. Edwards (SG) Out - Knee. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out For Season - Leg.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

“This is what you don’t really teach. This is about will. It’s about heart, and that’s how we were able to overcome this great challenge.” - Rudy Gobert after their win against the Nuggets in game 6 of that series on Thursday. 

"We have a lot of room to improve. We have a lot of things we can get better at, but we are ready to step up to the plate and swing. That's a fun thing to be a part of." - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in game 5 of that series on Tuesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Ayo Dosunmu

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)