Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/27/2026

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Monday, April 27, 2026

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  54-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 23-18 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets 3 times in a row. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in points in that game with 43 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 17 points. Bones Hyland led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 43.8% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 96.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 39-47 this season and their O/U record is 37-49.

The Nuggets are entering the playoffs with a 54-28 record overall this season and they were 28-13 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves 3 times in a row. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 30 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 24 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 37.9% from the field, 21.4% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 45-41 this season and their O/U record is 52-34.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 54-28 record overall which had them right near the top of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 28-13 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 23-18 road record this year. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the 3 seeded Nuggets and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 3-1 series lead after winning game 4 by a score of 112-96. The Nuggets won the 1st game of this series and took an early 1-0 lead, but they have lost 3 games in a row and are now going back home facing elimination. The Timberwolves have stepped up in the last 3 games and the Nuggets weren't able to get anything going in both of those road games. The Nuggets were trailing in both road games and got completely crushed in the 2nd half of both of those, the Timberwolves pulling away by double digits and holding the Nuggets to less than 100 points in both games, but now the Nuggets could be catching a break here. The Timberwolves were able to get the job done without him once he left injured, but they did lose Anthony Edwards to an injury along with Donte DiVincenzo and it is likely that they will be missing 2 starters now in this one. That is going to be a huge blow for the Timberwolves who have really taken over this series, but the Nuggets have a chance to steal some momentum back now and they are still one of the most talented teams in the NBA. The Nuggets are going to answer the call at home after 2 terrible road games and they will take advantage of the Timberwolves being down some starters here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, April 27, 2026 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 120 Timberwolves 107.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 27-38 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 16-23 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 8-14 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. 13-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Denver Nuggets: 6-3 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 19-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 4-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 13-7 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Day To Day - Undisclosed. D. DiVincenzo (PG) Out For Season - Leg.

Denver Nuggets:  P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.

“Ayo was just out of this world, man. Just play after play after play." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Nuggets in the 4th game of this series on Saturday. 

“I expect us to have a great effort in Game 5. I really trust our two best players will find a rhythm, and they have to find that at home." - David Adelman after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Saturday. 

PG Mike Conley

SG Ayo Dosunmu

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Cameron Johnson

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

PPG: Nikola Jokic (27.7)

APG: Nikola Jokic (10.7)

Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.9)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)