by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 15, 2025
Game Time: 6:08 pm ET, Thursday, October 16, 2025
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: TBS, truTV, HBO MAX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Brewers +162, Dodgers -199; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Brewers +160, Dodgers -190; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Brewers +155, Dodgers -190; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 97-65 (1st place, NL Central)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 93-69 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 9-1 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their best of 5-game series against the Chicago Cubs 3-2 in the NLDS. They finished the regular season with a 97-65 record overall and had a home record of 52-29. This is the 3rd game of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Dodgers on Thursday for the NLCS. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Freddy Peralta was their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jose Quintana is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 11-7 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB appearance, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 2 hits through 3 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their best of 5-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in the National League Division Series. They finished the regular season with a 93-69 record overall and had a road record of 41-40. This is the 3rd game of a best 4 out of 7 game series with the Brewers on Thursday for the National League Championship Series. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Yoshinobu Yamamoto was their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tyler Glasnow is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 in Milwaukee and they now have a firm grip on this series. They won both games in Milwaukee and are now going back home with 3 games there to end this series. The Brewers haven't looked great lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and struggled to get by the Cubs in the last round, winning that series 3-2. The Dodgers have been rolling though, going 9-1 in their last 10 games, and they have barely had to use their bullpen in the first 2 games of this series too. Glasnow is on the mound for the Dodgers in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 4-3 with a 3.19 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all lately. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up no runs, something that has been a common theme for him, and the team has had a ton of success with him in the game, winning 6 games in a row now with him making an appearance. Meanwhile, Quintana is on the mound for the Brewers in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 11-7 with a 3.96 ERA, but he wasn't great in the last month of the season. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up no runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him lately and the team has lost 3 games in a row now with him making an appearance. The Dodgers are rolling right now and this series isn't going to make it back to Milwaukee. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Brewers Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, October 16, 2025 (6:08 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 4 Brewers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers: 286-213 (+49.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 135-112 (+30.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 103-91 (+36.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 27-15 OVER on the road after 2 or more consecutive losses.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 53-48 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 111-66 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -150 or more. 93-65 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 16-9 OVER in playoff games.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: B. Woodruff (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. S. Miller (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Henderson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Mitchell (CF) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Los Angeles Dodgers: N. Frasso (SP) Sixty Day IL - Undisclosed. K. Yates (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. M. Kopech (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. B. Stewart (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Phillips (RP) Sixty Day IL - forearm. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“The one thing is, you guys might have us counted out. And I understand that. Ninety percent of the teams that have been in this situation don’t win the series. But this team has been counted out a lot this year. And I think there’s some fight left in them.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.
“If you look at the construction of our roster currently, the strength is starting pitching. And when you can have your most talented pitchers get the most outs, then you're in a good spot.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Brewers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers
Jackson Chourio (R) RF
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B
Sal Frelick (L) CF
Caleb Durbin (R) 3B
Jake Bauers (L) LF
Joey Ortiz (R) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Enrique Hernández (R) LF
Andy Pages (R) CF
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: Andrew Vaughn (.308)
Hits: Brice Turang (168)
Home Runs: Christian Yelich (29)
RBI: Christian Yelich (103)
Stolen Bases: Brice Turang (24)
Wins: Freddy Peralta (17)
Saves: Trevor Megill (30)
ERA: Abner Uribe (1.67)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Will Smith (.296)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (172)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (55)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (102)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (20)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12)
Saves: Tanner Scott (23)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
