Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/03/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 02, 2026
Game Time: 9:45 pm ET, Friday, July 3, 2026
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  MLB TV, Apple TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -171, Diamondbacks +141; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -170, Diamondbacks +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -165, Diamondbacks +135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  53-31 (1st place, NL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  43-43 (3rd place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  8-2 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-32 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Jacob Misiorowski was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kyle Harrison is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-1 with a 2.57 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 SO on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-43 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Zac Gallen was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher José Cabrera is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team lost both of their games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 53-32 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a great road team too with their 24-14 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have looked good in their games this season with their 43-43 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL West. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 26-18 home record this season. The Diamondbacks haven't had a great offense this season and they haven't looked great lately either, now 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Brewers have been rolling though with their offense looking a lot better lately, now 8-2 in their last 10 games too, and they are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one. The Brewers are going with Harrison in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 8-1 with a 2.57 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs all year. The team has had more trouble lately, losing 2 games in a row now with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him and he is coming off a good start in which he only gave up 2 earned runs. The Diamondbacks are going with their rookie Cabrera and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA, but he doesn't have a lot of experience pitching in MLB. He also coming off a bad start in which he gave up 4 earned runs and the team has lost both of their games in which he started. Look for the Brewers to keep rolling here as they take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Brewers Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 3, 2026 (9:45 pm ET start time) is Brewers 7 Diamondbacks 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 247-174 (+50.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 116-90 (+30.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 151-91 (+21.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 10-5 OVER against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 113-94 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 48-58 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 60-72 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 48-26 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  Q. Priester (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. C. Crow (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Fitzpatrick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Rodriguez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. D. Hall (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Pectoral. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. A. Zerpa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. L. Henderson (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. B. Lockridge (LF) Ten Day IL - Knee.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  M. Soroka (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Lower-Body. J. Lawlar (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Nelson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Ten Day IL - Quad. B. Walston (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Mena (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Puk (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Burnes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Martinez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Saalfrank (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Take any other player in baseball that’s been missing for four years. To have him play this way, and particularly tonight with the four at-bats, the baserunning, the whole thing. I didn’t think it could happen. I didn’t expect anything close to this for this kid. I’m really happy for him. He’s playing every day. He’s hitting against lefties tonight. He’s just gotten better and better.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Wednesday.


"Zac was really good for the early parts of this game. I thought he was driving his fastball into the right parts of the zone." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Jackson Chourio (R) LF
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Jake Bauers (L) 1B
Garrett Mitchell (L) CF
Sal Frelick (L) RF
Cooper Pratt (R) SS
David Hamilton (L) 3B

Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Corbin Carroll (L) RF
Gabriel Moreno (R) DH
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Adrian Del Castillo (L) C
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Pavin Smith (L) 1B
Tommy Troy (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Andrew Vaughn (.339)
Hits:  William Contreras (91)
Home Runs:  Jake Bauers (15)
RBI:  Jake Bauers (51)
Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (18)
Wins:  Aaron Ashby (12)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (12)
ERA:  Jared Koenig (0.00)

Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Jordan Lawlar (.316)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (88)
Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (17)
RBI:  Ketel Marte (54)
Stolen Bases:  Geraldo Perdomo (12)
Wins:  Michael Soroka (8)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)
ERA:  Taylor Clarke (2.17)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (3rd season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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