Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/30/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, January 30, 2026

Venue:  Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI

Where to Watch:  CBSSN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, MSU +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, MSU +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, MSU +1.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  19-1 (9-1) (1st place, Big Ten)

Michigan State Spartans:  19-2 (9-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Michigan Wolverines:  5-0  last 5

Michigan State Spartans:  5-0  last 5

Michigan is entering this game with a 19-1 record overall, a 9-1 record in conference games, and they are 5-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game. Morez Johnson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 17 while Trey McKenney was next on the team with 11. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Morez Johnson Jr. led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.2% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 9-11 this season and their O/U record is 7-13.

Michigan State is entering this game with a 19-2 record overall, a 9-1 conference record, and they are 11-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in their last game. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in points in that game with 29 while Coen Carr was next on the team with 13. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Carson Cooper led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 49.1% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.5 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 10-9-2 this season and their O/U record is 6-15.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 19-1 record overall and their 9-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have been a great road team too with their 5-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Michigan State has looked great in their games this season with their 19-2 record overall and their 9-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 11-1 home record this season. Michigan State's only loss in the conference this season was a tight road game against Nebraska, but they have been rolling since that loss with 7 wins in a row now. They have gone toe-to-toe with some really good teams this year and they have looked like one of the best teams in the nation, but they still don't have the talent that this Michigan team has. Michigan was on a historic pace to start the season, breaking Big Ten records with their blow out wins, and even though they have cooled off a bit now, they have still looked like one of the best teams in the nation all year. Their only loss was at home against Wisconsin in a tight one, but they have been rolling again with 5 wins in a row now. They were tested in their last game with a home game against Nebraska and they were trailing for most of that game, but they found a way to dig deep and pull out the win in the end. They did struggle a lot in that game, but they got the win in the end against a good Nebraska team that was undefeated at the time, and Michigan State didn't look that great themselves in their last one. Michigan State is off a road win over Rutgers in OT and they were trailing that entire game, needing a really late comeback to force OT. Both of these teams have been rolling lately and both found a way to win in their last game despite trailing for a majority, but Michigan is the more talented team here as they are the true contender and it will show in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, January 30, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 82 Michigan State 79.

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Michigan Wolverines: 8-18 ATS in road games. 9-19 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 19-28 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 19-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 8-4 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Michigan State Spartans: 27-18 ATS in all home games. 10-3 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 21-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 61-32 UNDER in all games. 31-15 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5.

Michigan Wolverines:  W. Grady (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Liburd (G) Out - Redshirt.

Michigan State Spartans:  K. Glenn (F) Out - Knee.

“Well, first of all, I want to congratulate Nebraska on a great game. Being shorthanded and playing as hard and as physical as they do. They gave us everything. And I thought the last five minutes of the game we were determined to find a way. When Nebraska disrupted just about everything that we tried to do.Our fans were awesome. The energy in the building was great. Yeah, there's not going to be an easy button for this stuff. Like, we're going to have to elevate our play, elevate our physicality. Especially going into Friday night on the road. But like I said, we stepped up and we made big free throws. We got great contributions off the bench from Trey and Will. And when you're chasing a championship, you just have to have different guys step up each and every night. And credit our guys, they stayed ready.” - Dusty May after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game. 

"Believe it or not, it's hard for me to be excited because I lost to a guy who I have great respect for. They outcoached us and outplayed us 90 percent of that game. They made shots tonight. They played well. They guarded better. We looked like we were in quicksand. We missed shots and we turned the ball over." - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Rutgers in their last game. 

N. Burnett 

E. Cadeau 

M. Johnson 

Y. Lendeborg 

A. Mara

C. Carr 

C. Cooper 

J. Fears 

J. Kohler 

D. Ugochukwu

PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (14.2)

APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.3)

Reb/G: Morez Johnson Jr. (7.2)

PPG: Jeremy Fears Jr. (14.1)

APG: Jeremy Fears Jr. (8.9)

Reb/G: Jaxon Kohler (9.3)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (31st season)