Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2026

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -102, Phillies -118; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Miami Marlins:  36-37 (4th place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  39-33 (2nd place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Matt Fargo is on a HOT STREAK in MLB on a 13-7 MLB RUN for +$9,050 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-37 record overall and have a road record of 13-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Marlins lost the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .702 OPS. Tyler Phillips is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 4.25 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 8 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-33 record overall and have a home record of 20-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .684 OPS. Jesús Luzardo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Andrew Painter is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-7 with a 6.43 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 walks with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 36-37 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NL East. They haven't been a good road team this year with their 13-21 road record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 39-33 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 20-17 home record this season. The Phillies have looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but the Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been rolling lately too. They have also had the better offense this season with the Phillies being one of the worst in the league and the Marlins have the better pitching matchup in this one too. The Marlins are going with Alcantara in this one and he has been a solid starter for them over the years. He is 6-4 with a 4.25 ERA, but his team has been having a ton of success with him. They have won 3 games in a row now with him as the starter and even though he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start, he hasn't been giving up as many runs lately. The Phillies are going with their rookie Painter in this one and he has looked terrible this season. He is 1-7 with a 6.43 ERA and the team hasn't had much success with him. They have lost 4 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 5 earned runs, something that has been a common theme for him. The Marlins have been getting hot with their offense lately and they can definitely take advantage of this inexperienced rookie who hasn't looked good all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Marlins Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Marlins 8 Phillies 4.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Miami Marlins Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Miami Marlins: 177-220 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 86-110 (+24 units) on the moneyline in road games. 132-172 (+27.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 22-10 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Philadelphia Phillies: 82-81 (-20.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 68-54 (-4.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 49-51 (-11 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 9-5 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Miami Marlins:  J. Ekness (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hamstring. J. Junk (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. E. Perez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Gracilis. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Laskey (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  T. Turner (SS) Day To Day - Wrist. R. Marchan (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat. K. Backhus (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow.

“We've seen a number of high-quality arms this year and I think our guys have really stood up well. Maybe not put up gaudy run-scoring numbers, but I think in a lot of ways being able to grind them down and maybe get a guy out of a game an inning shorter than maybe they want. Our guys just go up there and try to have a good game plan and approach, move enough balls forward and try to keep the line moving.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Monday. 

"Obviously, the home run was huge. But I really liked the second at-bat. He controlled the zone, got himself a pitch he could handle and got us another run. That's winning baseball." - Don Mattingly on Gabriel Rincones after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Monday. 

Liam Hicks (L) DH

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Kyle Stowers (L) 1B

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Heriberto Hernández (R) LF

Owen Caissie (L) RF

Jakob Marsee (L) CF

Joe Mack (L) C

Javier Sanoja (R) 3B

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L) RF

Justin Crawford (L) CF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.339)

Hits:  Otto Lopez (97)

Home Runs:  Liam Hicks (13)

RBI:  Liam Hicks (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jakob Marsee (17)

Wins:  Max Meyer (7)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (9)

ERA:  William Kempner (0.00)

Batting Average:  Brandon Marsh (.324)

Hits:  Brandon Marsh (78)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (24)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (42)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (14)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (18)

ERA:  Cristopher Sánchez (1.82)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)