Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/14/2025

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Thursday, August 14, 2025

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  FDSFL, CLEGUARDIANS.tv 

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +104, Guardians -126; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  57-62 (3rd place, NL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  62-56 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  3-7 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  8-2 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 5-game series against the Atlanta Braves 4-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-62 record overall and have a road record of 29-31. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Marlins lost the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Eury Pérez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Edward Cabrera is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-5 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 11 SO on 2 hits through 8 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-56 record overall and have a home record of 30-27. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Guardians won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Gavin Williams is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-9 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 walks with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked good in their games this season with their 62-56 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL Central and in the Wild Card race. They have also looked good in their own ballpark this year with their 30-27 home record. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 57-62 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 29-31 road record this year. The Guardians have been red hot lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Marlins are 3-7 and have fallen into a slump, but the Marlins do have the better pitching matchup in this one and can take advantage of that to bounce back. Cabrera is on the mound for the Marlins in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 6-5 with a 3.08 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He is coming off another good start in which he gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting too. The Guardians are going with Bibee in this one and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 8-9 with a 4.60 ERA and the team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning 6 games in a row now with him starting, but he still gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. This is a good chance for the Marlins to take a game in this series, especially after losing a close one on Tuesday night. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Marlins Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 14, 2025 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 3 Guardians 1.

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Miami Marlins: 24-17 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 203-241 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 99-124 (+19.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 24-13 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians: 62-70 (-12 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 168-171 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 18-33 (-13.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 36-15 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.

Miami Marlins:  J. Tinoco (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Norby (3B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. M. Meyer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. R. Weathers (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Arm. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Garrett (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  L. Thomas (CF) Ten Day IL - Foot. W. Brennan (RF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. A. Walters (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. B. Lively (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Hentges (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“It's definitely going to turn. Sometimes you go through ruts where you feel like, on one hand, you can never lose again, and on the other side, you feel like we have to play an absolutely perfect game in all facets to win, which we don't have to play perfect. We know we have to play well. And so right now, yes, it's been a tough go for the last three or four days, and all we can do is go back tomorrow and focus on what we can control. You just try to go be better when those opportunities come again, because it's going to turn. The sun will come up tomorrow, and we'll have a game where we have a chance to win.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Tuesday.

“It always feels like he's going to deliver. Anytime he's up at any point in the game, you make sure you're watching, but [especially] late in the game like that. That's a really good pitcher, and he just continues to do Hosey things. Such a special night for him and his family, becoming the franchise leader in multi-homer games. Twenty-seven, that's ridiculous. Just really happy for Hosey.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Tuesday.

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Agustín Ramírez (R) C

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Dane Myers (R) RF

Heriberto Hernández (R) DH

Jakob Marsee (L) LF

Eric Wagaman (R) 1B

Derek Hill (R) CF

Javier Sanoja (R) 3B

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Daniel Schneemann (L) CF

José Ramírez (S) 3B

Kyle Manzardo (L) DH

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Bo Naylor (L) C

Gabriel Arias (R) SS

Nolan Jones (L) RF

Brayan Rocchio (S) 2B

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.429)

Hits:  Xavier Edwards (128)

Home Runs:  Kyle Stowers (25)

RBI:  Kyle Stowers (71)

Stolen Bases:  Xavier Edwards (22)

Wins:  Ronny Henriquez (6)

Saves:  Calvin Faucher (11)

ERA:  Freddy Tarnok (0.00)

Batting Average:  José Ramírez (.294)

Hits:  José Ramírez (128)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (25)

RBI:  José Ramírez (63)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (33)

Wins:  Tanner Bibee (8)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (24)

ERA:  Carlos Hernández (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (1st season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (2nd season)