Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  FDSFL, FDSOH, WXIX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +105, Reds -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Miami Marlins:  40-48 (3rd place, NL East)

Cincinnati Reds:  46-44 (4th place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  4-6 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-48 record overall and have a road record of 20-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Reds on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Janson Junk is their starting pitcher on Monday while Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 1 hit through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Reds are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-44 record overall and have a home record of 24-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Brady Singer is their starting pitcher on Monday while Nick Martinez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-8 with a 4.20 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 walks with 2 strikeouts on 9 hits through 6.2 innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox.

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds have looked good in their games this season with their 46-44 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL Central in a competitive division. They have looked good in their own ballpark this year with their 24-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-48 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 20-21 road record this season. The Marlins have been the hotter team lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they did just lose their last series at home and are starting to cool off now. Perez is on the mound for the Marlins in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and didn't give up any runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him throughout his career. The Reds have a really good offense too and even though they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games, they have still been putting up runs in their games. The Reds are going with Martinez in this one and he hasn't looked great this season, but he has looked better lately. He is 6-8 with a 4.20 ERA and did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back at home and the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Reds have the better offense and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup at home with the Marlins starting to come back down to Earth now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game. 

Marlins Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 8, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 7 Marlins 4.

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Miami Marlins: 130-174 (+17.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 90-114 (+17.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 143-153 (+26.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 32-15 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Cincinnati Reds: 100-104 (-13.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 76-67 (-13.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 34-41 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%). 23-8 UNDER at home vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game.

Miami Marlins:  M. Meyer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. R. Weathers (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. J. Tinoco (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. R. Brantly (C) Sixty Day IL - Lat. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Arm. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Garrett (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Cincinnati Reds:  I. Gibaut (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. J. Fraley (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. C. Joe (RF) Ten Day IL - Illness. W. Miley (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. R. Lowder (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Spiers (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Callihan (LF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Aguiar (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Kyle’s such a great teammate. He’s such a good person. As good as a performer as he has been during this first half, Kyle is equally as impressive off the field. It’s the way he treats everyone, he’s growing into a real leader on our team. And that’s not just because of how he’s played, it’s about how accountable he is to his actions and the care factor he has.” - Clayton McCullough on Kyle Stowers this season.

“He’s got all the weapons, and obviously, has got the last weapon, which is the ‘compete’ mode. You don’t see guys going out there for the ninth too often anymore. That was impressive.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday. 

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Jesús Sánchez (L) RF

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Agustín Ramírez (R) C

Kyle Stowers (L) DH

Eric Wagaman (R) 1B

Heriberto Hernandez (R) LF

Connor Norby (R) 3B

Dane Myers (R) CF

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) SS

Austin Hays (R) DH

Gavin Lux (L) LF

Spencer Steer (R) 1B

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Will Benson (L) RF

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.429)

Hits:  Xavier Edwards (82)

Home Runs:  Kyle Stowers (16)

RBI:  Kyle Stowers (46)

Stolen Bases:  Xavier Edwards (15)

Wins:  Ronny Henriquez (5)

Saves:  Calvin Faucher (8)

ERA:  Freddy Tarnok (0.00)

Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.400)

Hits:  Elly De La Cruz (96)

Home Runs:  Elly De La Cruz (18)

RBI:  Elly De La Cruz (60)

Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (22)

Wins:  Brady Singer (7)

Saves:  Emilio Pagán (19)

ERA:  Andrew Abbott (2.15)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (1st season)

Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (1st season)