Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2026

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Thursday, August 6, 2026

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Braves -157; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +130, Braves -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  58-56 (3rd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  68-45 (1st place, NL East)

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Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the New York Mets 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-56 record overall and have a road record of 24-33. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Marlins lost the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .731 OPS. Eury Pérez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Janson Junk is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-6 with a 4.58 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 SO on 3 hits through 5 IP against the New York Mets.

The Braves are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals 4-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 68-45 record overall and have a home record of 37-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Martín Pérez is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts on 1 hit through 7 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 68-45 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 37-20 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Marlins have looked good in their games this season with their 58-56 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have been a bad road team though with their 24-33 road record this year. The Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have looked a lot better lately, but they have also looked like a different team in their road games this year. They have looked a lot better at home this season and they are running into a Braves team that has been getting hot again, now 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Braves are going with Perez in this one and he has been a solid starter for them this season. He is 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up no runs and the team has been having success with him lately too, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Marlins are going with Junk in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-6 with a 4.58 ERA and the team has been having trouble with him lately. He gave up no runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year, and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him making an appearance. Junk has spent time as a reliever too, so he isn't going to go very deep into this game and the Marlins bullpen hasn't looked that great this season either. The Braves are going to be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup at home and their bullpen has looked a lot better lately as they have been getting healthier. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 6, 2026 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Marlins 3.

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Miami Marlins: 199-239 (+16.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 97-122 (+23.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 144-182 (+32.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 11-6 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

Atlanta Braves: 233-206 (-39.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 122-97 (-21.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 153-150 (-44.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 30-20 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Miami Marlins:  M. Meyer (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. W. Kempner (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Bender (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shin. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. R. Snelling (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Mazur (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Henriquez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  R. Lopez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Suarez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

"What that looks like and when he may play, we're not sure. Or even if he will. We've come to that point now where we think it'll be a good time to go explore that for him and for us. So he's up for that, and we'll see how the transition goes. There won't be any type of an artificial timeline on if and when Gus gets into a game at first base. I think we'll let it organically just happen, and until then, he is certainly someone who will help strengthen our bench on days he's not starting as left-handed pitchers come in.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

“Players will take that stuff personally, and that's OK. I always say to players, ‘find something that puts a chip on your shoulder.’ I don't care what it is, but you're going to need that in this league.” - Walt Weiss after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Tuesday.

Kyle Stowers (L) 1B

Griffin Conine (L) DH

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Owen Caissie (L) RF

Heriberto Hernández (R) LF

Jakob Marsee (L) CF

Leo Jiménez (R) 3B

Joe Mack (L) C

Javier Sanoja (R) 2B

Drake Baldwin (L) C

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Mike Yastrzemski (L) LF

Dominic Smith (L) DH

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Jim Jarvis (L) SS

Batting Average:  Otto Lopez (.323)

Hits:  Otto Lopez (142)

Home Runs:  Heriberto Hernandez (16)

RBI:  Liam Hicks (62)

Stolen Bases:  Esteury Ruiz (27)

Wins:  Sandy Alcantara (12)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (17)

ERA:  Josh Ekness (1.69)

Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)

Hits:  Matt Olson (118)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (31)

RBI:  Matt Olson (69)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (12)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (24)

ERA:  Hunter Stratton (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (2nd season)

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)