Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/09/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 9, 2026

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  FDSSU, Sportsnet

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, Raptors -4.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +4.5, Raptors -4.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +3.5, Raptors -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Miami Heat:  41-38 (4th place, Southeast Division)

Toronto Raptors:  44-35 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Miami Heat:  3-7 last 10

Toronto Raptors:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 41-38 record overall this season and they are 16-23 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Raptors. Andrew Wiggins led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyler Herro and Norman Powell each were next on the team with 14 points. Tyler Herro and Davion Mitchell each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 36.3% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 44-35 this season and their O/U record is 43-36.

The Raptors are entering this game with a 44-35 record overall this season and they are 22-17 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Miami Heat. Scottie Barnes led the team in points in that game with 25 while Brandon Ingram was next on the team with 23 points. Jamal Shead led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, and Collin Murray-Boyles each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 49.5% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.9 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 40-39 this season and their O/U record is 30-49.

The current betting odds have the Raptors listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Raptors have looked good in their games this season with their 44-35 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They have looked good on their home court too with their 22-17 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 41-38 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They have been a bad road team though with their 16-23 road record this year. The Heat are currently fighting to climb the standings in the East and get in a better position for the play-in tournament, but they are already guaranteed a spot in the play-in tournament and lately they haven't looked that great. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games as they have fallen into a bad slump lately and they are off a brutal double digit loss to the Raptors in their last one too. The Raptors haven't looked that great themselves lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have still looked a lot better lately and have the momentum on their side from that win over the Heat in their last one. The Heat have also looked like a completely different team in their road games this season and the Raptors are still going to be fighting to win this game since they are in 6th place in the East and trying to avoid the play-in tournament. Look for the Raptors to bring their best effort at home to avoid the play-in tournament and take advantage of a Heat team that hasn't looked good lately and has had a lot of trouble on the road this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raptors to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Raptors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 9, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Raptors 114 Heat 105.

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Miami Heat: 3-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 4-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 31-24 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 4-1 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less. 14-9 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Toronto Raptors: 2-7 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 3-11 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 12-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 11-6 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Miami Heat:  N. Jovic (PF) Out - Ankle.

Toronto Raptors:  None.

“We're disappointed, for sure, that we weren't able to bring another level of competitive spirit to this. That's what's disappointing. We're not thinking about the next step right now.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Raptors in their game on Tuesday. 

“I always tell my team, in those situations, if you don't step up, you really sink to the level of your preparation. And I'm very confident in our preparation, and all the work that we're putting in over the course of the summer and whole season to be in this position. This is what we wanted, right? We wanted to be fighting for the playoffs and to play meaningful games. They have a saying in Italy, 'You always wanted to ride a bicycle, and finally you have a bicycle, now you have to turn the pedals.' You’ve got to enjoy the moment.” - Darko Rajakovic after his team’s win against the Heat in their game on Tuesday. 

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Tyler Herro

SF Norman Powell

PF Andrew Wiggins

C Bam Adebayo

PG Immanuel Quickley

SG Brandon Ingram

SF RJ Barrett

PF Scottie Barnes

C Jakob Poeltl

PPG: Norman Powell (21.9)

APG: Davion Mitchell (6.5)

Reb/G: Bam Adebayo (10)

PPG: Brandon Ingram (21.3)

APG: Immanuel Quickley (6)

Reb/G: Scottie Barnes (7.5)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (18th season)

Toronto Raptors: Darko Rajakovic (3rd season)