Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, December 30, 2022
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: ALT
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Heat +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under: 223.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Heat +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under: 223.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Heat +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under: 223.5 points
Season Record
Miami Heat: 18-17 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Denver Nuggets: 22-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)
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Recent Form
Miami Heat: 7-3 last 10
Denver Nuggets: 8-2 last 10
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis
The Heat are coming into this game with an 18-17 record overall and they are 7-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 27 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 23 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.8% from the field, 31.4% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 12-21-2 this season and their O/U record is 17-18.
The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 22-12 record overall and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 40 while Nah'Shon Hyland was next on the team with 20 points. Nah'Shon Hyland led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokić, and DeAndre Jordan each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 57.6% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.2 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 16-18 this season and their O/U record is 16-18.
Heat vs Nuggets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have been great all year with one of the best records in the NBA and they have been great in their home games too. They just lost in their last game which was in Sacramento but they are back at home here where they are 12-3 this season and will be looking to bounce back from that loss. The Heat are starting to pick up some steam in their games lately winning 2 in a row now, but they still haven't been a great road team this year and now they have to take on one of the best teams in the NBA currently. This game is also going to be in Denver where the Nuggets have a big home advantage with the altitude and even though they lost their last game, they won 5 games in a row right before that. The Heat have been playing well as of late but their road troubles this season will creep up on them in this game while the Nuggets will be looking to bounce back with a win at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.
Heat Nuggets Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Friday, December 30, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 124 Heat 114.
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NBA Betting Trends
Miami Heat: 24-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-3 ATS after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 30-22 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
Denver Nuggets: 6-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 18-24 ATS off a road loss. 18-7 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less.
Key Injuries
Miami Heat: D. Dedmon (C) Ques Fri - Foot. U. Haslem (PF) Ques Fri - Achilles. K. Lowry (PG) Ques Fri - Personal. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.
Denver Nuggets: A. Gordon (PF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. J. Murray (SG) Ques Fri - Knee. B. Brown (PG) Ques Fri - Ankle. J. Green (SF) Late Jan - Hand. C. Gillespie (PG) Early Jan - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“We kept the lead. That was the biggest thing.” - Bam Adebayo after their win against the Lakers in their game on Wednesday.
“Obviously tonight was not a great night for our defense. That’s why we lost. You can’t rely on offense against a young hungry team that got beat last night.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Jimmy Butler
C Bam Adebayo
Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic
Statistical Leaders
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (22)
APG: K. Lowry (6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.9)
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.7)
APG: N. Jokic (9.4)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (10.8)
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)