by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 19, 2025
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 1-5 (3rd place, AFC East)
Cleveland Browns: 1-5 (4th place, AFC North)
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Miami Dolphins: lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 29-27.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-9.
Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 29-27. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 29/38 passes for 264 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 128 and 2 TDs. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kenneth Grant led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-9. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 29/52 passes for 221 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 36. Harold Fannin Jr. led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They have been a disaster all year, but they are off a 29-27 loss at home to the Chargers in a really tight game and they have played in some close games this year. Their defense has looked terrible this season with the number of points they have been giving up, but the offense didn't look bad against the Chargers and they have been moving the ball well in their games lately. Meanwhile, the Browns have also looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC North. They are off a 23-9 loss against the Steelers and their offense has been a disaster all season. They have a really good defense that has been keeping them in their games, but their defense can only do so much until the flodd gates open and the Browns offense cannot stay on the field. Dillon Gabriel is starting at QB now and he has given the offense some life, but they still aren't putting up enough points to win games and they won't be able to keep up with the Dolphins offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 19, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 21 Browns 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 5-1 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 12-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 9-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 14-4 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 8-3 OVER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Cleveland Browns: 17-24 ATS in all games. 4-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 3-9 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 7-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 8-5 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: A. Brewer (OG) Injured - Pectoral. J. Brooks (LB) Injured - Neck. E. Campbell (CB) Injured - Quadricep. T. Dodson (LB) Injured - Concussion. S. Duck (CB) Injured - Ankle. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Neck. T. Tagovailoa (QB) Injured - Thumb. D. Trader Jr. (S) Injured - Shoulder. D. Waller (TE) Injured - Hip. C. Wilson (WR) Injured - Knee.
Cleveland Browns: J. Bitonio (OG) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Collins (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Conklin (OT) Injured - Concussion. M. Garrett (DL) Injured - Elbow. M. Hall Jr. (DL) Injured - Knee. S. Harris (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. G. Larvadain (WR) Injured - Concussion. C. Lucas (OT) Injured - Back. D. Njoku (TE) Injured - Knee. C. Robinson (OT) Injured - Knee. J. Tryon-Shoyinka (DL) Injured - Hip. B. Whiteheart (TE) Injured - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“Shocked. Shocked. This is something that we’ve talked about collectively as a team, about being able to finish in games like this where we have the opportunity to win the game. And it’s not just one side of the ball. It’s every phase. I’ve contributed with the turnovers. It’s frustrating to say the least.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their loss against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“We know (Gabriel) is tough, he's going to keep fighting. We've just, around him, got to make some plays.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
WR Washington, Malik
TE Waller, Darren
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Cleveland Browns
WR Bond, Isaiah
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Njoku, David
TE Fannin Jr., Harold
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB Judkins, Quinshon
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (1,213)
Rushing: De'Von Achane (390)
Receiving: Jaylen Waddle (390)
Touchdowns: De'Von Achane (6)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: Joe Flacco (815)
Rushing: Quinshon Judkins (383)
Receiving: Harold Fannin Jr. (254)
Touchdowns: Cedric Tillman (2)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (4th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
