by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Sep 04, 2025
Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday, September 6, 2025
Venue: Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ULM +36.5, Alabama -36.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ULM +36, Alabama -36; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ULM +37.5, Alabama -37.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: 1-0 (0-0) (5th place, Sun Belt West)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 0-1 (0-0) (14th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: won their last game at home against the Saint Francis Red Flash 29-0.
Alabama Crimson Tide: lost their last game on the road against the Florida State Seminoles 31-17.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
LA-Monroe is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against St Francis PA 29-0. Aidan Armenta was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 95 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Braylon McReynolds led the team in rushing yards with 113. Tyler Griffin led the receivers with 32 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. D'Arco Perkins-McAllister led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while D'Arco Perkins-McAllister led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Alabama is entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida State 31-17. Ty Simpson was the starting QB and he completed 23/43 passes for 254 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kevin Riley led the team in rushing yards with 31. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Deontae Lawson and Justin Jefferson each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Keon Sabb led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Louisiana-Monroe vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 36.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama is 0-1 overall and they looked terrible in their season opener. They went on the road against Florida State and lost 31-17. Not only did they lose that game, they got outplayed and looked embarrassing with the talent that they have. Now they are starting their season behind the mark and they will have to make up for it with some much better play. They are playing their home opener against a cupcake in this game and now they have something to prove after that loss so they will be looking to take out their frustrations in this game. Meanwhile, LA-Monroe is 1-0 overall and they shut out their opponent in week 1, but they were also at home against a team from the FCS. They won 29-0 against St Francis and the defense looked good, but there is a lot more talent on this Alabama offense and they aren't going to be able to keep them off the board here. Their offense didn't look great against that FCS defense either and Alabama has a point to prove after giving up 31 points so ULM will be lucky to even score in this game. Alabama looked really bad, but this is a get right game for them at home and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas after last week. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
Louisiana-Monroe Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 6, 2025 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Alabama 63 LA-Monroe 0.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: 1-3 ATS against SEC opponents. 2-9 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-1 UNDER in non-conference games. 4-0 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 10-4 ATS in home lined games. 4-1 ATS as a favorite of 31 or more points. 8-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 3-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses.
Key Injuries
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: None.
Alabama Crimson Tide: J. Beaman (DL) Out - Lower Body. R. Williams (WR) Questionable - Concussion. I. Horton (WR) Questionable - Hip. J. Sammarco (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Hampton (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Keenan III (DL) Questionable - Ankle. J. Miller (RB) Questionable - Collarbone. J. Roberts (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Lewis Jr. (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We’ve got an upset, is a nice way to say it, football team that’s gonna come out with something to prove, and we get it. And that’s fine, but we’ve got something to prove too. We’ve gotta go play our best.” - Bryant Vincent on his team’s upcoming game against Alabama this week.
“I choose to believe we got a good football team. But we can’t play on our heels. We’re not going to be what we think we can be, what we want to be, if that’s the case.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s loss against FSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
WR Godfrey, Jake
WR Trujillo, Nic
WR Coulter, JP
TE Sullivan Jr., Nate
QB Armenta, Aidan
RB Ford, D'Shaun
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Horton, Isaiah
WR Bernard, Germie
WR Williams, Ryan
TE Lewis Jr., Danny
TE Cuevas, Josh
QB Simpson, Ty
RB Young, Richard
Statistical Leaders
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Passing: A. Armenta (95)
Rushing: B. McReynolds (113)
Receiving: T. Griffin (32)
Touchdowns: T. Griffin (1)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: T. Simpson (254)
Rushing: K. Riley (31)
Receiving: G. Bernard (146)
Touchdowns: J. Cuevas (1)
Coaches:
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: Bryant Vincent (2nd season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
