by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Dec 24, 2025
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 29, 2025
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Rams -7.5, Falcons +7.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Rams -8, Falcons +8; Over/Under: 49.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Rams -8, Falcons +8; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Rams: 11-4 (3rd place, NFC West)
Atlanta Falcons: 6-9 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Rams: lost their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 38-37 in overtime.
Atlanta Falcons: won their last game on the road against the Arizona Cardinals 26-19.
Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons Preview and Analysis
The Rams are entering this game with an 11-4 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 38-37 in OT. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 29/49 passes for 457 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 70. Puka Nacua led the receivers with 225 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 2 TDs. Josh Wallace led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kobie Turner led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Josh Wallace and Kobie Turner each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Falcons are entering this game with a 6-9 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 26-19. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 21/35 passes for 197 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing yards with 79. Bijan Robinson led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Divine Deablo led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Arnold Ebiketie led the defense in sacks with 1. C.J. Henderson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Rams vs Falcons Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rams listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rams have looked really good in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NFC West in a really competitive division. They have been a good road team though with their 4-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Falcons haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-9 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NFC South. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 2-4 home record this season. The Falcons are off a 26-19 win over the Cardinals in their last one and they have looked better lately with 2 wins in a row now, but the offense has been really up and down all season and lately the defense hasn't looked good either. They still have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball, but it hasn't been clicking on the field all season and now they really have nothing left to play for. The Rams have been rolling in their games lately as they are starting to look like the single best team in the NFL, but they are off a 38-37 loss to the Seahawks in their last one and that was a costly loss as they no longer control their own destiny for the division. That was a terrible loss for them to take considering how they were up 16 points in the 4th quarter and let it slip away, but they will be looking to bounce back in a big way after the way they lost that game. Look for the Rams to bounce back against a flakey Falcons team and show why they are still one of the best teams in the NFL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rams to cover the spread in this game.
Rams Falcons Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 29, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Rams 35 Falcons 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Rams: 31-18 ATS in all games. 10-2 ATS as a road favorite. 8-2 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 8-4 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 8-4 OVER as a road favorite. 9-5 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game.
Atlanta Falcons: 18-29 ATS in all games. 8-15 ATS in home games. 6-14 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 5-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-4 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 10-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Rams: None.
Atlanta Falcons: None.
Notable Quotes
“Very interesting. Didn’t get a clear explanation of everything that went on just because of some of the timing of it. I’ve never seen anything or never been a part of anything like that. And I’ve grown up around this game. I’m not making excuses. We don’t do that. I don’t believe in that. It doesn’t move us forward, but we do want clarity and an understanding of the things that we can do to minimize that when we rejected the 2-point conversion.” - Sean McVay on the 2-point play that tied the game in their loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
“It shows guys what this team should look like on a consistent basis, every time we're out there.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Rams
WR Mumpfield, Konata
WR Nacua, Puka
WR Smith, Xavier
TE Parkinson, Colby
QB Stafford, Matthew
RB Williams, Kyren
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR Sills V, David
WR London, Drake
TE Pitts Sr., Kyle
QB Cousins, Kirk
RB Robinson, Bijan
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Rams
Passing: Matthew Stafford (4,179)
Rushing: Kyren Williams (1,100)
Receiving: Puka Nacua (1,592)
Touchdowns: Davante Adams (14)
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: Michael Penix Jr. (1,982)
Rushing: Bijan Robinson (1,250)
Receiving: Kyle Pitts Sr. (854)
Touchdowns: Bijan Robinson (9)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Rams: Sean McVay (9th season)
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
