by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 17, 2025
Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Friday, July 18, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: FDSW, NBCS-P
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Angels +168, Phillies -208; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Angels +180, Phillies -225; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Angels +180, Phillies -225; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Angels: 47-49 (4th place, AL West)
Philadelphia Phillies: 55-41 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Angels: 4-6 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Angels are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-49 record overall and have a road record of 23-26. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. José Soriano was their starting pitcher on Sunday while José Soriano is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-7 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 3 SO on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Phillies are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-41 record overall and have a home record of 30-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Angels on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Cristopher Sanchez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-5 with a 4.14 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants.
Angels vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 55-41 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 30-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Angels haven't looked great in their games this season with their 47-49 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL West. They haven't been a good road team this season either with their 23-26 road record. Neither team has been hot lately, but the Phillies have looked great at home all year and will be looking to get hot coming out of the All-Star break. They are going to have Luzardo on the mound here and he hasn't been bad this season. He is 8-5 with a 4.14 ERA and has been giving up some runs lately, but he did bounce back with a great start in his last one. He is coming off a start in which he gave up no runs and he will be looking to continue that out of the break since his team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in. Soriano is on the mound for the Angels in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 6-7 with a 3.90 ERA and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but his team has also lost 2 games in a row with him starting and they haven't had a ton of success with him this year either. The Phillies have the better pitching staff that will be fresh for this series and they also have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game and on the runline.
Angels Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 18, 2025 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Angels 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Angels: 18-22 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 183-237 (-25.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-55 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 13-7 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).
Philadelphia Phillies: 250-188 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 141-78 (+24.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 201-119 (+17.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 23-14 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Angels: H. Strickland (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Moore (2B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. C. Taylor (CF) Ten Day IL - Hand. R. Stephenson (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Bicep. B. Joyce (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Rendon (3B) Sixty Day IL - Hip.
Philadelphia Phillies: A. Bohm (3B) Day To Day - Ribs. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We’re not here to develop, although that's a piece to what we do. We're here to win. If you would’ve told me heading into the All-Star break, that we would be in the mix and couple games above or below .500, I’d be happy with it. But I'm not ignorant of the fact that we've cost ourselves a few games, we should be a little better than we are.” - Ray Montgomery on his team this season.
“I think everybody needs a break right now. We’ve been grinding. There haven’t been many games where you felt really comfortable. Everything has been a close game, whether we’re down, we’re up." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Padres in their last game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto (R) SS
Nolan Schanuel (L) 1B
Mike Trout (R) DH
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Jo Adell (R) CF
Yoán Moncada (S) 3B
Logan O'Hoppe (R) C
LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) RF
Luis Rengifo (S) 2B
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Otto Kemp (R) LF
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Zach Neto (.279)
Hits: Nolan Schanuel (94)
Home Runs: Taylor Ward (21)
RBI: Taylor Ward (65)
Stolen Bases: Zach Neto (17)
Wins: José Soriano (6)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (16)
ERA: Robert Stephenson (0.00)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Trea Turner (.289)
Hits: Trea Turner (112)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (30)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (69)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (24)
Wins: Zack Wheeler (9)
Saves: Jordan Romano (8)
ERA: Seth Johnson (1.80)
Managers:
Los Angeles Angels: Ray Montgomery (Interim)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
