by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 19, 2025
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +11.5, Chiefs -11.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +12, Chiefs -12; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +12, Chiefs -12; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-4 (4th place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 3-3 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 20-10.
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 30-27.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-10. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 174 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Tre Tucker led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Devin White led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 2. Devin White came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 30-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 257 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 51. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Chamarri Conner led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Charles Omenihu led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC West, but they are starting to wake up from their slow start to the season. They are off a 30-17 win over the Lions in their last one and they have looked a lot better in their home games this season. They also have one of the best defenses in the NFL still, and their offense has looked a lot better over the last 2 weeks too. Meanwhile, the Raiders haven't looked good in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC West. They are off a 20-10 win over the Titans in their last one, but the Titans are one of the worst teams in the NFL this season and that win snapped a 4 game losing streak for them. Their defense has been giving up a ton of points in their games this year against better offenses and their offense has also looked really bad with Geno Smith not playing at his best. This is not a good situation for the Raiders on the road off that win at home over the Titans with the Chiefs starting to hit their stride again. The Chiefs have also been getting healthier as the season goes on so this offense is only going to get better as they figure things out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 19, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 38 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 6-2 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 6-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 12-5 UNDER after playing a game at home. 7-3 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.
Kansas City Chiefs: 4-8 ATS versus division opponents. 0-7 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 2-5 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 28-19 UNDER in all games. 14-6 UNDER as a home favorite. 10-3 UNDER versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: J. Meyers (WR) Injured - Knee. B. Bowers (TE) Injured - Knee. D. Laube (RB) Injured - Hamstring.
Kansas City Chiefs: J. Simmons (OT) Injured - NIR - Personal. B. Smith (RB) Injured - Illness. H. Brown (WR) Injured - Achilles. C. Omenihu (DL) Injured - Ankle. N. Remigio (WR) Injured - Thumb. J. Taylor (OT) Injured - Knee. X. Worthy (WR) Injured - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“We've been talking like we want to play good football for a long time. It just hasn't come together yet. The last time we won was such a long time ago, we can't even remember it, but (the victory is) really important for us. These guys deserve to feel like they feel right now.” - Pete Carroll after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
“It is what it is. You just kind of move on. We won the football game.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Thornton Jr., Dont'e
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
TE Mayer, Michael
QB Smith, Geno
RB Jeanty, Ashton
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Brown, Hollywood
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: Geno Smith (1,350)
Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (424)
Receiving: Tre Tucker (356)
Touchdowns: Ashton Jeanty (5)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: Patrick Mahomes (1,514)
Rushing: Patrick Mahomes (222)
Receiving: Travis Kelce (321)
Touchdowns: Patrick Mahomes (4)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Pete Carroll (1st season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (13th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
