Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/21/2025

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 21, 2025

Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raiders +14.5, Texans -14.5; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raiders +14, Texans -14; Over/Under:  38 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raiders +14.5, Texans -14.5; Over/Under:  38 points

Las Vegas Raiders:  2-12 (4th place, AFC West)

Houston Texans:  9-5 (2nd place, AFC South)

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Las Vegas Raiders:  lost their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles 31-0.

Houston Texans:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 40-20.

The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-12 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-6 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 31-0. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 64 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 35. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 28 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Devin White led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Texans are entering this game with a 9-5 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 40-20. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 22/29 passes for 260 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jawhar Jordan led the team in rushing yards with 101. Nico Collins led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 2 TDs. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Danielle Hunter and Denico Autry each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kamari Lassiter came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 9-5 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC South. They have looked good on their home field too with their 5-2 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-12 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC West with the worst record in the entire NFL. They have been a terrible road team too with their 1-6 road record this year. The Raiders are off a 31-0 loss to the Eagles in their last one and they have been a disaster all season. They have one of the worst defenses in the NFL and lately they have had the single worst offense too. They couldn't do anything against the Eagles in their last one and now they have to go on the road against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Texans are off a 40-20 win over the Cardinals in their last one and they are going to do the same to the Raiders here. The Texans have one of the best defenses in the NFL that just doesn't give up many points, and their offense looked great against a bad defense last week, which is what they will see here. The Texans have also looked a lot better lately and have been getting hot at the right time as they look to make some noise in the playoffs this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Raiders Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 21, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Texans 34 Raiders 10.

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Las Vegas Raiders: 4-8 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 2-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 0-4 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 5-0 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points. 

Houston Texans: 14-7 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 6-3 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 5-1 ATS at home after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 16-8 UNDER in home games. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more last game.

Las Vegas Raiders:  G. Smith (QB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Lockett (WR) Injured - Knee. I. Thomas (TE) Injured - Calf. K. Miller (OT) Injured - Ankle. M. Crosby (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Meredith (OG) Injured - Ankle. A. Bachman (WR) Injured - Thumb. J. Chinn (S) Injured - Back.

Houston Texans:  D. Autry (DL) Injured - Knee. S. Rankins (DL) Injured - Knee. T. Brown (OT) Injured - Hand. N. Chubb (RB) Injured - Ribs. J. Watson (WR) Injured - Calf. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Ankle. D. Taylor (DL) Injured - Ankle. E. Speed (LB) Injured - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Injured - Oblique. K. Lassiter (CB) Injured - Foot. W. Marks (RB) Injured - Ankle.

“This is the result against the world champs last year who maybe weren’t playing quite like that for a month here or whatever, but they looked like it today. It looked like a great team today.” - Pete Carroll after his team’s loss against the Eagles in their last game. 

“If you go out and handle business each week you’re just putting yourself in a better spot. Not really focused on what everyone else in the AFC is doing. Focus on the Texans. Focus on stepping your game up and playing better.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game. 

WR Thornton Jr., Dont'e

WR Tucker, Tre

WR Lockett, Tyler

TE Bowers, Brock

QB Pickett, Kenny

RB Jeanty, Ashton

WR Collins, Nico

WR Higgins, Jayden

WR Kirk, Christian

TE Schultz, Dalton

QB Stroud, C.J.

RB Jordan, Jawhar

FB Brooks, British

Passing: Geno Smith (2,648)

Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (700)

Receiving: Brock Bowers (647)

Touchdowns: Ashton Jeanty (8)

Passing: C.J. Stroud (2,441)

Rushing: Woody Marks (584)

Receiving: Nico Collins (1,001)

Touchdowns: Nico Collins (7)

Coaches:

Las Vegas Raiders: Pete Carroll (1st season)

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (3rd season)