by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, November 6, 2025
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +8.5, Broncos -8.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +9, Broncos -9; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +9, Broncos -9; Over/Under: 42 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-6 (4th place, AFC West)
Denver Broncos: 7-2 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-29 in overtime.
Denver Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 18-15.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-29 in OT. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 220 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 42. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 127 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 3 TDs. Devin White led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 1. Isaiah Pola-Mao came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 18-15. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 18/37 passes for 173 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing yards with 61. RJ Harvey led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Talanoa Hufanga led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Zach Allen, Jonathon Cooper, and Dre Greenlaw each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Raiders vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They are off an 18-15 win over the Texans in their last one and they have looked great on their home field this year with their 4-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-6 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the NFL. They haven't been a great road team either with their 1-3 road record this year. They are off a 30-29 loss at home to the Jags in their last one and they were 1 play away from winning that one, but that was a tough loss for them to take in what has been a disaster of a season. They are getting healthier now, but they did trade away a big part of their offense and that isn't going to help them here against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Broncos have been playing in some tight games lately, but they play their best at home and their defense isn't going to give up much to this struggling Raiders offense. The Broncos will be able to pull away throughout this game as they keep their foot on the Raiders with that great defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 6, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Broncos 31 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 4-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 2-5 ATS on the road vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 9-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-3 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.
Denver Broncos: 5-2 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 5-2 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 6-1 ATS at home vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 16-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: T. Booker IV (DL) Injured - Oblique. L. Johnson Jr. (S) Injured - Fibula. A. O'Connell (QB) Injured - Wrist. I. Pola-Mao (S) Injured - Hip. B. Bowers (TE) Injured - Toe.
Denver Broncos: D. Jones (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Injured - Shoulder. J. Gray (S) Injured - Hamstring. J. Cooper (LB) Injured - Thumb. B. Jones (S) Injured - Foot. R. Moss (CB) Injured - Ankle. P. Locke (S) Injured - Neck. P. Surtain II (CB) Injured - Pectoral. N. Adkins (TE) Injured - Knee. M. Mims Jr. (WR) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“Hats off to (Hamilton). He made the play.” - Geno Smith after their loss against the Jaguars in their last game.
“We did just enough things to come out of here with a win.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Bech, Jack
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Lockett, Tyler
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Smith, Geno
RB Jeanty, Ashton
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Bryant, Pat
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Nix, Bo
RB Dobbins, J.K.
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: Geno Smith (1,701)
Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (487)
Receiving: Tre Tucker (427)
Touchdowns: Ashton Jeanty (6)
Denver Broncos
Passing: Bo Nix (1,976)
Rushing: J.K. Dobbins (695)
Receiving: Courtland Sutton (566)
Touchdowns: RJ Harvey (6)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Pete Carroll (1st season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
