Game Time: 6:15 pm ET, Saturday, November 7, 2026
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kentucky +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kentucky +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kentucky +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Kentucky Wildcats: 7-1 (5-1) (2nd place, SEC)
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-2 (3-2) (8th place, SEC)
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Kentucky Wildcats: won their last game at home against the Vanderbilt Commodores 34-17.
Tennessee Volunteers: lost their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 27-24.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis
Kentucky is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Vanderbilt 34-17. Kenny Minchey was the starting QB and he completed 19/26 passes for 203 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jovantae Barnes led the team in rushing yards with 68. Kenny Darby led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jordan Castell led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace and Jamarrion Harkless each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ty Bryant came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Tennessee is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against South Carolina 27-24. George MacIntyre was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 136 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 120 and 1 TD. Braylon Staley led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Dejuan Lane led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Amare Campbell, Mar'Quavious Moss, Mariyon Dye, and Xavier Gilliam each led the defense in sacks with 1. TJ Metcalf came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction
The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked great in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a great road team too with their 3-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked good on their home field too with their 4-1 home record this season. Tennessee is coming out of their bye week after losing a road game to South Carolina 27-24. They were in control of that one for most of the game, but they gave their lead away near the end and they couldn't hang on against that good offense. They have looked a lot better at home this season and they do have one of the best defenses in the SEC, but their offense hasn't looked that great with some issues at QB all season. They have settled on MacIntyre, but he hasn't been a huge improvement and they have had trouble putting up points all season. Kentucky won their last game against Vanderbilt 34-17 and they are also coming out of their bye week here, so they are going to bring their best effort for this game to stay near the top of the conference. Their defense hasn't looked great this season, but they do have a great offense that has been putting up a ton of points. They have the more reliable QB to lean on in this game and they have already pulled off some big upset wins this season. Will Stein has Kentucky moving in the right direction at the moment and even if they come out of their bye and lose this game, it won't be by much with that struggling Tennessee offense. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game.
Kentucky Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 7, 2026 (6:15 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 27 Tennessee 23.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kentucky Wildcats: 9-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 8-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 9-3 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.
Tennessee Volunteers: 5-10 ATS as a home favorite. 4-8 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 2-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 6-3 OVER in November games.
Key Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: L. Watkins (TE) Out - Undisclosed. A. Afari Jr. (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Baxter (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Mizell (RB) Out - Undisclosed.
Tennessee Volunteers: B. Brady (LS) Out - Undisclosed. W. Moe Jr. (OG) Out - Undisclosed. J. Harmon (LB) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I love all that stuff, but what matters is our players, really proud of them. They’re great Their toughness, their fight and being a good football team. Those guys have been in every single game that they’ve played in. It shows that we’re a really good football team ... This was, I thought, one of our best games.” - Will Stein after his team’s win against Vandy in their last game.
“If you let a good football team hang around on the road, it has got a chance to sure bite you and it did in this game.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Miller, DJ
WR Anderson, Nic
WR Darby, Kenny
TE Rodriguez, Willie
QB Minchey, Kenny
RB Baxter, CJ
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Jackson, Radarious
WR Matthews, Mike
WR Staley, Braylon
TE Brame, DaSaahn
QB MacIntyre, George
RB Bishop, DeSean
Statistical Leaders
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: Kenny Minchey (1,755)
Rushing: CJ Baxter (487)
Receiving: Kenny Darby (507)
Touchdowns: CJ Baxter (8)
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: George MacIntyre (728)
Rushing: DeSean Bishop (957)
Receiving: Mike Matthews (528)
Touchdowns: DeSean Bishop (11)
Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: Will Stein (1st season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (6th season)