Kansas Jayhawks vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/11/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 11, 2025

Venue:  Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kansas +14.5, Texas Tech -14.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kansas +14.5, Texas Tech -14.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kansas +14.5, Texas Tech -14.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Kansas Jayhawks:  4-2 (2-1) (7th place, Big 12)

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  5-0 (2-0) (1st place, Big 12)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Nelly’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in college football on a 14-6-1 CFB RUN for +$7,450 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Kansas Jayhawks:  won their last game on the road against the UCF Knights 27-20.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won their last game on the road against the Houston Cougars 35-11.

Kansas is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UCF 27-20. Jalon Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 235 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Leshon Williams led the team in rushing yards with 58 and 3 TDs. Cam Pickett led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Trey Lathan led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jalen Dye and Tommy Dunn Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Houston 35-11. Behren Morton was the starting QB and he completed 28/40 passes for 345 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. J'Koby Williams led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 2 TDs. Caleb Douglas led the receivers with 114 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ben Roberts led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while David Bailey led the defense in sacks with 2. Jacob Rodriguez came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big 12. They are currently ranked inside the top 10 and they are starting to emerge as the team to beat in the Big 12. They are off a 35-11 win over Houston on the road and they have been rolling over every opponent they have faced. They also have 2 big road wins over Houston and Utah. Meanwhile, Kansas has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. They are off a 27-20 road win over UCF in their last one, but they struggled to beat one of the worst teams in the conference in that game. They have also been giving up a ton of points all season as their defense has been a big issue for them in these games. They have a great offense, but Texas Tech has one of the best defenses in the Big 12 and it is going to be really tough for this Kansas offense to move the ball. Their defense won't be able to stop this Texas Tech offense either so Kansas is going to struggle to keep up in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 11, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 45 Kansas 21.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kansas Jayhawks Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

Kansas Jayhawks: 8-18 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points. 14-28 ATS in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 21-37 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 yards/play or less. 9-5 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 9-5 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Texas Tech Red Raiders: 9-3 ATS as a home favorite. 9-4 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 6-3 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 9-4 OVER as a home favorite. 7-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.

Kansas Jayhawks:  D. Hanika (TE) Out - Leg. J. Strickland (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Robinson (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Nickens (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Hovey (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Hishaw Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Ellis (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brooks (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Abajian (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  J. Rodriguez (LB) Questionable - Calf. A. Hampton (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Gentry (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Hendrix (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Grant (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Dingle Jr. (S) Out - Leg. D. Singleton (DL) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Joyner (RB) Out - Knee.

"I think they’re top three in every statistic imaginable in our conference and in the top 10 nationally in many areas. That just says Coach McGuire has a really good football team. It’ll be a heck of a challenge on homecoming night, but our guys have embraced that challenge, and it’s a great opportunity for us to go down there and play well." - Lance Leipold on his team’s upcoming game against TTU this week. 

“I felt like we could have scored more points than we did. But at the end of the day there were teams that went on the road that were expected to win and didn’t. There were teams that went on the road that were in fights like this and couldn’t handle the adversity and our team handled the adversity.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against Houston in their last game. 

WR Wentz, Levi

WR Henderson Jr., Emmanuel

WR Pickett, Cam

TE Hanika, DeShawn

QB Daniels, Jalon

RB Hishaw Jr., Daniel 

WR Virgil, Reggie

WR Douglas, Caleb

WR Eakin, Coy

TE Miller II, Johncarlos

QB Morton, Behren

RB Dickey, Cameron

Passing: Jalon Daniels (1,497)

Rushing: Leshon Williams (303)

Receiving: Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (488)

Touchdowns: Leshon Williams (6)

Passing: Behren Morton (1,410)

Rushing: Cameron Dickey (330)

Receiving: Coy Eakin (341)

Touchdowns: Cameron Dickey (7)

Coaches:

Kansas Jayhawks: Lance Leipold (5th season)

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (4th season)