Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/05/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  FDSKC, NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +193, Red Sox -241; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +195, Red Sox -240; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +195, Red Sox -240; Over/Under:  8 runs

Kansas City Royals:  56-56 (3rd place, AL Central)

Boston Red Sox:  62-51 (2nd place, AL East)

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Kansas City Royals:  7-3 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  8-2 last 10

The Royals are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-56 record overall and have a road record of 28-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .684 OPS. Bailey Falter is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Ryan Bergert is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 4 SO on 2 hits through 4 IP against the New York Mets.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-51 record overall and have a home record of 37-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Monday while Garrett Crochet is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 12-4 with a 2.23 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 62-51 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 37-21 home record. Meanwhile, the Royals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 56-56 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They haven't been a great road team either with their 28-28 road record this season. The Royals have been really hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and just beat the Blue Jays in their last series, but the Red Sox have still been hotter as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and coming off a series sweep of the Astros. The Red Sox also have the better pitching matchup in this one so they can take advantage of that at home where they have been a much better team all year. Crochet is on the mound for the Red Sox in this one and he has been their ace this season. He is 12-4 with a 2.23 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He is coming off another great start in which he only gave up 2 earned runs and the team has had a ton of success with him lately as they have won 5 games in a row now with him starting. The Royals are going with Bergert in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA, but he is also in his rookie season and was just traded to the Royals so this isn't the best situation for him. His team won 4 games in a row with him starting and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run, but the Royals don't have a great offense to help him out here and even though they have been hot lately, the Red Sox have still been hotter. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game and on the runline. 

Royals Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 5, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Royals 1.

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Kansas City Royals: 36-59 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 200-242 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 113-172 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 19-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +200 or more.

Boston Red Sox: 160-155 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 80-74 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 69-54 (+23.4 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 27-19 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more.

Kansas City Royals:  S. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. K. Bubic (SP) Sixty Day IL - Rotator Cuff. J. Caglianone (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. M. Lorenzen (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. M. Canha (LF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. M. Massey (2B) Ten Day IL - Ankle. C. Ragans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Rotator Cuff. J. McArthur (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Marsh (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Boston Red Sox:  L. Guerrero (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Sixty Day IL - Flexor. H. Dobbins (SP) Sixty Day IL - ACL. M. Mayer (3B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. L. Hendriks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. J. Slaten (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Winckowski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. P. Sandoval (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“[The Blue Jays] are going to get the same opportunity. The matchup there with Izzy is pretty good -- maybe it’s different if it’s a really tough lefty. But the way he’s been swinging the bat, we have a lot of confidence in him.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

“Between [Giolito] and Bello, they're doing an outstanding job. We’ve got capable guys that can go out there and compete. Obviously, [we need to] get Walker [Buehler] on track. We trust our guys. All of them -- Bello, Gio and obviously Crochet -- have been amazing the last two months.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.

Jonathan India (R) DH

Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS

Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B

Maikel Garcia (R) 3B

Salvador Perez (R) C

Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

John Rave (L) LF

Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Rob Refsnyder (R) DH

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Roman Anthony (L) LF

Romy Gonzalez (R) 2B

Trevor Story (R) SS

Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Abraham Toro (S) 1B

Wilyer Abreu (L) RF

Connor Wong (R) C

Batting Average:  Luke Maile (.364)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (125)

Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (20)

RBI:  Vinnie Pasquantino (66)

Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (29)

Wins:  Kris Bubic (8)

Saves:  Carlos Estévez (28)

ERA:  Hunter Harvey (0.00)

Batting Average:  Alex Bregman (.293)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (117)

Home Runs:  Wilyer Abreu (20)

RBI:  Trevor Story (69)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (18)

Wins:  Garrett Crochet (12)

Saves:  Aroldis Chapman (20)

ERA:  Nick Burdi (0.00)

Managers:

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (3rd season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (5th season)