Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/27/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 27, 2026

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -11.5, Dolphins +11.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -11.5, Dolphins +11.5; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -11, Dolphins +11; Over/Under:  46 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  2-0 (1st place, AFC West)

Miami Dolphins:  0-2 (4th place, AFC East)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 33-30 in overtime. 

Miami Dolphins:  lost their last game on the road against the San Francisco 49ers 35-13.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 33-30 in OT. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 32/47 passes for 382 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 117. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 13 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kristian Fulton came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 35-13. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 197 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 74. Ryan Miller led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Michael Taaffe led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West. They haven't played any road games yet and will be playing their 1st road game of the season here. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't played any home games though and will be playing their home opener here. The Dolphins are coming off a 35-13 loss to the 49ers in their last one and they have looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. They lost to the Raiders in week 1 too and they don't have a lot of talent on the team, in their 1st year of a new head coach too. The defense has given up a ton of points in 2 games and the offense has had a lot of trouble trying to move the ball. The Chiefs are coming off a 33-30 win over the Colts in their last one and the Colts did give them a fight, needing OT to win, but the Chiefs have been rolling in both games this year and look like they haven't lost a step. Mahomes is coming back from an injury, but he looked a lot better against the Colts last week and now the Chiefs have a real rushing attack with Walker that makes their offense a lot more dangerous. The defense still looks great too and they clearly have an edge to them this year, looking to prove that they are still the Chiefs of old. The Chiefs have a lot more talent than this Dolphins team that might actually be the single worst team in the NFL this season, so look for the Chiefs to roll here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 27, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 31 Dolphins 7.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 33-44 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 5-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 2-6 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 23-14 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points. 18-10 UNDER against conference opponents.

Miami Dolphins: 50-26 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 8-2 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 6-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 21-15 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points. 

Kansas City Chiefs:  C. Jones (DL) Questionable - Calf. R. Rice (WR) Injured - Knee. L. Sneed (CB) Injured - Knee. R. Thomas (DL) Injured - Hamstring. P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Knee. C. Conner (CB) Out - Knee. J. Simmons (OT) Out - Back. M. Delane (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Gillotte (DL) Injured - Foot.

Miami Dolphins:  R. Harrison Jr. (LB) Out - Hamstring. T. Addington (LS) Questionable - Shoulder. C. Robinson (DL) Out - Concussion. S. Traore (TE) Injured - Thumb. D. Trader Jr. (S) Injured - Hamstring. M. Willis (QB) Injured - Toe.

“It was great that the guys competed for four quarters. You're going to have this. The parity in this league is crazy. You're going to have some once-score games. You have to bear down and our guys did that.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game. 

“They’ve got great players who are experienced and have been running this system for a very long time. When I saw Kittle and Juice after the game, they were here when I was here in 2017. So great players, great play-caller, consistency and continuity in one scheme over time usually equals success. That’s a really good team.” - Jeff Hafley after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game. 

WR Thornton, Tyquan

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Rice, Rashee

TE Kelce, Travis

QB Mahomes, Patrick

RB Walker, Kenneth

FB VanSumeren, Ben

WR Bell, Chris

WR Douglas, Caleb

WR Washington, Malik

TE Dulcich, Greg

QB Willis, Malik

RB Achane, De'Von

FB Herman, DJ

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (566)

Rushing: Kenneth Walker III (290)

Receiving: Travis Kelce (172)

Touchdowns: Kenneth Walker III (2)

Passing: Malik Willis (417)

Rushing: De'Von Achane (110)

Receiving: Caleb Douglas (113)

Touchdowns: Malik Willis (1)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (14th season)

Miami Dolphins: Jeff Hafley (1st season)