Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/04/2026

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 4, 2026

Venue:  Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4.5, Raiders +4.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4.5, Raiders +4.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4.5, Raiders +4.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  3-0 (1st place, AFC West)

Las Vegas Raiders:  3-0 (1st place, AFC West)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 24-10.

Las Vegas Raiders:  won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 35-27.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 24-10. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 20/24 passes for 246 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 70 and 1 TD. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. George Karlaftis came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Raiders are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 35-27. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 22/33 passes for 248 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 56. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Nakobe Dean led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles while Jeremy Chinn and Malcolm Koonce each led the defense in sacks with 1. Hezekiah Masses came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West. They have been a good road team too with their 1-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West. They have looked good on their home field too with their 1-0 home record this season. The Raiders are coming off a 35-27 comeback win over the Saints in their last one and they have been a big surprise to start the season. They were one of the worst teams in the NFL last season with the number 1 pick overall in the draft, but they are undefeated through 3 games this season and Kirk Cousins has looked great in this offense. They have been building a good team with some talent over the last few years, but they have also had a really weak schedule to start the season. They have wins over the Dolphins and the Saints who aren't good teams at all and even their win over the Chargers looks worse now with the Chargers also losing to the Cardinals and starting 0-3. The Chiefs have been rolling in their 3 games this season with Mahomes healthy again and they look like they are playing with a purpose after a terrible year missing the playoffs. They are coming off a 24-10 win over the Dolphins in their last one and their offense has looked a lot better this year with the addition of Kenneth Walker. This has been a cute start to the season for the Raiders, but the Chiefs are the true contender in this division and will be looking to send a message to the Raiders by handing them their 1st loss of the year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Raiders Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 4, 2026 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Raiders 13.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 4-14 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-9 ATS versus division opponents. 5-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 5-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 27-20 OVER in dome games. 71-56 OVER as a road favorite.

Las Vegas Raiders: 4-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 23-15 ATS at home after scoring 30 points or more last game. 8-4 ATS at home after 3 or more consecutive wins. 35-19 OVER off an upset win as a road underdog. 28-18 OVER against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better.

Kansas City Chiefs:  J. Simmons (OT) Injured - Back. F. Anudike-Uzomah (DL) Injured - Quad. J. Canady (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Cochrane (LB) Injured - Calf. C. Conner (CB) Injured - Knee. A. Gillotte (DL) Injured - Knee. C. Jones (DL) Injured - Calf. R. Rice (WR) Injured - Knee. L. Sneed (CB) Injured - Knee. P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Knee. C. Roland-Wallace (CB) Injured - Shoulder.

Las Vegas Raiders:  M. Benson (WR) Injured - Knee. F. Fatukasi (DL) Injured - Shoulder. A. Jeanty (RB) Injured - Ankle. T. McCollum (S) Injured - Knee. A. O'Connell (QB) Injured - Rest. J. Powers-Johnson (OG) Injured - Groin. T. Stukes (S) Injured - Concussion. C. White (WR) Injured - Ankle.

“We knew it’d be four quarters of football, and that’s what it took. We’ve got plenty of things to work on, but it’s great to be 3-0. There were some real good things we could take out of it, and there’s some things we can definitely work on going forward.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game. 

“To come off an injury and play the way he did was very impressive. We needed it. We’re not surprised.” - Klint Kubiak on Brock Bowers after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game. 

WR Thornton, Tyquan

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Rice, Rashee

TE Kelce, Travis

QB Mahomes, Patrick

RB Walker, Kenneth

FB VanSumeren, Ben

WR Nailor, Jalen

WR White, Cody

WR Tucker, Tre

TE Bowers, Brock

QB Cousins, Kirk

RB Jeanty, Ashton

FB Heyward, Connor

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (812)

Rushing: Kenneth Walker III (360)

Receiving: Travis Kelce (231)

Touchdowns: Kenneth Walker III (4)

Passing: Kirk Cousins (661)

Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (206)

Receiving: Tre Tucker (189)

Touchdowns: Cody White (3)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (14th season)

Las Vegas Raiders: Klint Kubiak (1st season)