by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 9, 2025
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Jaguars +1.5, Texans -1.5; Over/Under: 37.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Jaguars +1, Texans -1; Over/Under: 38 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Jaguars +1, Texans -1; Over/Under: 38 points
Season Record
Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-3 (2nd place, AFC South)
Houston Texans: 3-5 (3rd place, AFC South)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on an 11-3 NFL RUN for +$7,650 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Jacksonville Jaguars: won their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 30-29 in overtime.
Houston Texans: lost their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 18-15.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 30-29 in OT. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 220 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 84. Parker Washington led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Jarrian Jones led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Josh Hines-Allen led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Montaric Brown came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 18-15. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 6/10 passes for 79 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions before getting injured and being replaced by Davis Mills who completed 17/30 passes for 137 yards. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 34. Dalton Schultz led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Calen Bullock came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Jaguars vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall which has them right near the top of the AFC South. They are off a 30-29 win in OT over the Raiders in their last one and they have already beaten the Texans this season too. Meanwhile, the Texans haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-5 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC South. They are off an 18-15 loss to the Broncos in their last one and they lost their starting QB to a concussion. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season and they haven't been giving up many points all year, but their offense has looked terrible even when Stroud has been healthy. Their defense has been keeping them in games and they have played their best at home this year, but even the defense couldn't win them that game against the Broncos once Mills came in. The Texans offense was already struggling with Stroud, but once he left the game, the offense came to a screeching halt. The Broncos do have one of the best defenses themselves so the Texans won't be up against that, but the Jags still have a good defense this year and this Texans offense just can't be trusted to get the job done here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game.
Jaguars Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 9, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 13 Texans 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Jacksonville Jaguars: 9-3 ATS versus division opponents. 33-24 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 30-17 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 yards/game or less. 14-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 11-4 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Houston Texans: 26-44 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 13-23 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 rushing yards/game or less. 19-25 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 27-16 UNDER in all games. 11-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 4-0 UNDER revenging a road loss against an opponent.
Key Injuries
Jacksonville Jaguars: E. Cleveland (OG) Injured - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) Injured - Groin. D. Gardeck (LB) Injured - Chest. H. Long (TE) Injured - Hip. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Groin. D. Hamilton (DL) Injured - Back. D. Lloyd (LB) Injured - Calf. D. Brown (WR) Injured - Concussion. B. Thomas Jr. (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Lewis (CB) Injured - Neck. J. Kiser (LB) Injured - Quadricep.
Houston Texans: K. Fairbairn (K) Injured - Quad. D. Autry (DL) Injured - Knee. N. Chubb (RB) Injured - Foot. B. Berrios (WR) Injured - Chest. D. Schultz (TE) Injured - Knee. H. Bryant (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Pitre (S) Injured - Concussion. E. Ingram (OG) Injured - Knee. J. Johnson (FB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Horton (DL) Injured - Knee. T. Howard (OT) Injured - Concussion. C. Harris (LB) Injured - Shin. W. Anderson Jr. (DL) Injured - Quad. C. Stroud (QB) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“He was pale as a ghost throughout the whole game. Obviously the frustrating interception down on the goal line, but man I'm very proud of the way he responded, the way that he played, especially later on when the game really was on the line.” - Liam Coen after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game.
“Disappointed as a team that we didn’t finish the game. The defense, they did a good job of getting stops multiple times. We just sputtered there offensively, we lacked just being able to move the ball. We lacked just being able sustain drives there in the second half. It just wasn’t good enough.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Brown, Dyami
WR Washington, Parker
TE Mundt, Johnny
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Etienne Jr., Travis
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Higgins, Jayden
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Mills, Davis
RB Marks, Woody
FB Brooks, British
Statistical Leaders
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: Trevor Lawrence (1,840)
Rushing: Travis Etienne Jr. (598)
Receiving: Brian Thomas Jr. (420)
Touchdowns: Trevor Lawrence (4)
Houston Texans
Passing: C.J. Stroud (1,702)
Rushing: Nick Chubb (355)
Receiving: Nico Collins (414)
Touchdowns: Nico Collins (3)
Coaches:
Jacksonville Jaguars: Liam Coen (1st season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
