Iowa State Cyclones vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/10/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Iowa State Cyclones:  21-2 (8-2) (4th place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  14-9 (4-6) (9th place, Big 12)

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Iowa State Cyclones:  5-0  last 5

TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5

Iowa State is entering this game with a 21-2 record overall, an 8-2 record in conference games, and they are 4-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Baylor Bears in their last game. Milan Momcilovic led the team in points in that game with 21 while Joshua Jefferson was next on the team with 15. Joshua Jefferson led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Tamin Lipsey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65 PPG against them. Iowa State has an ATS record of 13-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

TCU is entering this game with a 14-9 record overall, a 4-6 conference record, and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Kansas State Wildcats in their last game. Xavier Edmonds led the team in points in that game with 26 while Micah Robinson was next on the team with 16. Brock Harding led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Xavier Edmonds led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.8% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 11-12 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

The current betting odds have Iowa State listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked great in their games this season with their 21-2 record overall and their 8-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 4-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, TCU has looked good in their games this season with their 14-9 record overall, but their 4-6 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They have looked good on their home court with their 10-5 home record this season, but half of their losses this season have still been at home. TCU is off a win over Kansas State in their last one, but they haven't been at their best lately. They are 3-2 in their last 5 games and they have had some trouble against top opponents in the Big 12. Iowa State had a really hot start to the season and hit a bit of a snag in the conference, but they have been rolling again with 5 wins in a row now. They are off a tight home win over Baylor in their last one, but that hasn't been a common theme for them lately with a lot of their wins coming by double digits. TCU has been really up and down all season while Iowa State has a lot more talent as they are one of the best teams in the nation, and they are going to show why off of that tight win in their last game. Look for Iowa State to continue rolling in this game like they have been doing lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 10, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 78 TCU 66.

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Iowa State Cyclones: 58-34 ATS in all games. 10-5 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 24-12 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 27-13 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 10-5 UNDER as a road favorite or pick. 14-7 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival.

TCU Horned Frogs: 8-15 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 4-8 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 7-14 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less. 30-18 UNDER in all home games. 28-19 UNDER after playing a home game.

Iowa State Cyclones:  X. Mitchell (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Williams (G) Out - Hip.

TCU Horned Frogs:  M. Diallo (C) Out - Knee.

“So, our guys should feel great as well about what they did, rather than try to focus on the last couple of minutes. It should be the second half should be the narrative and how well they played defensively and what they did on the glass.” - T.J. Otzelberger after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game. 

“Just so happy to pull it out. Obviously not our best performance, but they had a lot to do with it.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s win against KSU in their last game. 

B. Buchanan 

J. Jefferson 

T. Lipsey 

M. Momcilovic 

K. Toure

X. Edmonds 

B. Harding 

L. Lelevicius 

J. Pierre 

D. Punch

PPG: Milan Momcilovic (18.7)

APG: Tamin Lipsey (5.4)

Reb/G: Joshua Jefferson (7.7)

PPG: David Punch (14.3)

APG: Brock Harding (6.1)

Reb/G: David Punch (7.2)

Coaches:

Iowa State Cyclones: T.J. Otzelberger (5th season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (10th season)