Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/14/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 13, 2026
Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 14, 2026
Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Iowa +9.5, Purdue -9.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Iowa +9.5, Purdue -9.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Iowa +9.5, Purdue -9.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points

Season Record

Iowa Hawkeyes:  12-4 (2-3) (12th place, Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers:  15-1 (5-0) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Iowa Hawkeyes:  3-2  last 5
Purdue Boilermakers:  5-0  last 5


Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis


Iowa is entering this game with a 12-4 record overall, a 2-3 record in conference games, and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Tavion Banks led the team in points in that game with 16 while Tate Sage was next on the team with 13. Bennett Stirtz led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Alvaro Folgueiras led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40.9% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.7 PPG against them. Iowa has an ATS record of 11-5 this season and their O/U record is 9-7.


Purdue is entering this game with a 15-1 record overall, a 5-0 conference record, and they are 9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last game. Braden Smith led the team in points in that game with 26 while Oscar Cluff was next on the team with 23. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 14 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 57.6% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 42.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 9-7 this season and their O/U record is 7-9.



Iowa vs Purdue Prediction

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 15-1 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 9-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Iowa has looked good in their games this season with their 12-4 record overall, but their 2-3 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big Ten. They have been a terrible road team so far too with their 0-3 road record this year. Iowa was rolling to start the season, but they didn't have a strong schedule at all and now they have been falling short in the games that matter. They are only 3-2 in their last 5 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now. They took a loss on the road in a tight game against Minnesota, but now they are off a huge loss to Illinois in their last one, and they were never really in that game even though they were at home. Now they are on the road again and have to play a team that is not only one of the best in the Big Ten, but they are also one of the best teams in the nation. Purdue has been ranked inside the top 10 all season and was even number 1 coming into the year. Their only loss was a bad one at home against Iowa State, but Iowa State is still undefeated in the best conference in the nation, and Purdue has been rolling over teams since that loss. Iowa hasn't shown anything in their last 2 games to inject confidence that they can compete with the best in the conference, so look for Purdue to continue rolling at home in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, January 14, 2026 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Purdue 89 Iowa 71.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Iowa Hawkeyes Purdue Boilermakers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Iowa Hawkeyes: 10-23 ATS as an underdog. 9-17 ATS in road games. 13-22 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 23-15 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 16-10 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 

Purdue Boilermakers: 20-11 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 25-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 29-16 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 30-11 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 13-5 OVER in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5.

Key Injuries


Iowa Hawkeyes:  P. McCollum (G) Out - Foot.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Notable Quotes


"They kinda have the perfect pieces. They're built so well, and they're so well coached offensively. Their point guard and then their bigs, their shooting, they space it with shooting, so you have your primary playmaker, but a lot of it is designed through their plays, through their actions, and they have a lot of them. They leverage those big guys and then they're able to get threes off because of the leverage of those big guys, which makes it very difficult to defend." - Ben McCollum on his team’s upcoming game against Purdue.


“Sometimes we look at things of that nature like, man, you get a 10-point lead – why don’t you take it to 18. Well, Freddie Dilione didn’t let us. He looked pretty damn good to me today. I don’t know what you guys are watching. He looked like a real player. He was fabulous.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against PSU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Iowa Hawkeyes
T. Banks 
K. Combs 
C. Koch 
C. Manyawu 
B. Stirtz

Purdue Boilermakers
O. Cluff 
C. Cox 
T. Kaufman-Renn 
F. Loyer 
B. Smith

Statistical Leaders


Iowa Hawkeyes
PPG: Bennett Stirtz (17.6)
APG: Bennett Stirtz (5.1)
Reb/G: Cam Manyawu (4.7)

Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Braden Smith (14.1)
APG: Braden Smith (9.8)
Reb/G: Trey Kaufman-Renn (10)

Coaches:
Iowa Hawkeyes: Ben McCollum (1st season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (21st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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