by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 19, 2026
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2026
Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Indiana -7, Michigan +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Indiana -7, Michigan +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Indiana -7, Michigan +7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Indiana Hoosiers: 6-1 (3-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)
Michigan Wolverines: 4-2 (1-2) (12th place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Indiana Hoosiers: lost their last game at home against the Ohio State Buckeyes 19-15.
Michigan Wolverines: won their last game at home against the Penn State Nittany Lions 21-18.
Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines Preview and Analysis
Indiana is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Ohio State 19-15. Josh Hoover was the starting QB and he completed 20/40 passes for 296 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Turbo Richard led the team in rushing yards with 46 and 1 TD. Charlie Becker led the receivers with 165 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Rolijah Hardy and Tyrique Tucker each led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Tobi Osunsanmi and Mario Landino each led the defense in sacks with 2. Amare Ferrell came away with 2 interceptions for them in that one.
Michigan is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Penn State 21-18. Bryce Underwood was the starting QB and he completed 5/11 passes for 43 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Savion Hiter led the team in rushing yards with 78. JJ Buchanan led the receivers with 36 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Troy Bowles led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Chris Bracy and John Henry Daley each led the defense in sacks with 1. Chris Bracy and Rod Moore each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Indiana vs Michigan Prediction
The current betting odds have Indiana listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Indiana has looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have been a great road team too with their 2-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall, but their 1-2 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big Ten. They have looked a lot better on their home field though with their 4-1 home record this season. Michigan is coming off a 21-18 win over Penn State in their last one, but that isn't a great win for them since Penn State has been reeling over the last few weeks. They took a bad loss at Minnesota and also blew a home game against a good Iowa team, but their offense has had some major issues this year. They do have a great defense, but that offense has had trouble moving the ball all year and Underwood has looked terrible running this offense. Tommy Carr finally got a shot at QB and could be taking over, but he didn't look that much better when he came in. Indiana hasn't looked great themselves this season and they just took their 1st loss of the year, but they actually played one of their best games in that one. They are coming off a 19-15 home loss to Ohio State, but their defense was able to shut down a really good offense and Indiana was just a play away from winning the game at the end. Indiana is still one of the best teams in the nation and they will be looking to bounce back after that tight loss to another top 5 team, especially since they had plenty of chances to win. The best way to place a bet here is on Indiana to cover the spread in this game.
Indiana Michigan Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Indiana 23 Michigan 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Indiana Hoosiers: 7-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 13-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 15-9 ATS against conference opponents. 20-11 OVER as a favorite. 14-5 OVER after playing a game at home.
Michigan Wolverines: 12-20 ATS against FBS division opponents. 3-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 5-9 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 3-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 5-2 OVER off a home win against a conference rival.
Key Injuries
Indiana Hoosiers: K. Martin (RB) Questionable - Forearm.
Michigan Wolverines: B. Norton (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Bell (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Marshall (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Sprague (OG) Out - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“That was our blitz check. We had it, we just didn't make it happen. This one is a tough one to swallow.” - Curt Cignetti after his team’s loss against OSU in their last game.
“The idea at halftime was to create a spark and Tommy did just that.” - Kyle Whittingham on Tommy Carr after his team’s win against PSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Indiana Hoosiers
WR Marsh, Nick
WR Becker, Charlie
WR Morris, Tyler
TE Gibbs, Trevor
QB Hoover, Josh
RB Richard, Turbo
Michigan Wolverines
WR Marsh, Andrew
WR Moa, Salesi
WR Buchanan, JJ
TE Hoffman, Jalen
QB Underwood, Bryce
RB Marshall, Jordan
Statistical Leaders
Indiana Hoosiers
Passing: Josh Hoover (1,660)
Rushing: Turbo Richard (643)
Receiving: Charlie Becker (694)
Touchdowns: Charlie Becker (8)
Michigan Wolverines
Passing: Bryce Underwood (924)
Rushing: Jordan Marshall (293)
Receiving: JJ Buchanan (482)
Touchdowns: JJ Buchanan (4)
Coaches:
Indiana Hoosiers: Curt Cignetti (3rd season)
Michigan Wolverines: Kyle Whittingham (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
