Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/18/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026
Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, October 18, 2026
Venue:  Wembley Stadium, London, England
Where to Watch:  NFL Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  42.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +2.5, Jaguars -2.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +2.5, Jaguars -2.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Season Record

Houston Texans:  1-4 (3rd place, AFC South)
Jacksonville Jaguars:  4-1 (1st place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Houston Texans:  won their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 26-3.
Jacksonville Jaguars:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Philadelphia Eagles 19-17.


Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis


The Texans are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 26-3. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 26/34 passes for 261 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing yards with 62. Xavier Hutchinson led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles while Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 3. Jake Hansen came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 19-17. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 331 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bhayshul Tuten led the team in rushing yards with 72. Parker Washington led the receivers with 124 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Antonio Johnson and Travon Walker each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Texans vs Jaguars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars have looked great in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC South. They have looked good in their neutral site games too with their 1-0 record this year. Meanwhile, the Texans haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-4 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC South. They haven't played in any neutral site games this season and will be playing their 1st one here. The Texans finally got their 1st win of the year last week, beating the Titans 26-3, but the Titans are also one of the worst teams in the NFL and are still winless after 5 weeks. The Texans desperately needed that win to get right, but now they travel to London for a divisional game against a red hot Jags team that has been waiting there for them. The Jaguars are coming off a 19-17 win over the Eagles in London, so they have already played a game in England and will be more adjusted for this game. They also beat the Eagles on a miraculous kick return with 8 seconds left to set up the winning field goal, so they are going to have a ton of momentum from that win. The Texans had one of the best defenses in the NFL last season, but that defense hasn't looked nearly as good this season and the offense has still been really up and down too. The Jaguars are in a much better situation for this game, so look for them to continue rolling here in their 2nd home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Jaguars Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 18, 2026 (9:30 am ET start time) is Jaguars 24 Texans 17.
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NFL Betting Trends


Houston Texans: 6-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 14-23 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 rushing yards/game or less. 17-30 ATS on the road vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 17-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Jacksonville Jaguars: 24-14 ATS in all games. 9-2 ATS versus division opponents. 8-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 18-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-6 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 

Key Injuries


Houston Texans:  None.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  None.

Notable Quotes


“We’re thankful right now to get our first win. It’s been a long time coming. Our guys, they poured into work, and they came out, and the work showed itself again on game day. We just have to keep that formula. Everybody just stay humble, keep working the way we work, and we’ll be just fine.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 


“One of the craziest games, maybe the craziest game I’ve ever been a part of and I’ve been in some pretty wild ones. Just how cool is this sport? The game’s never over.” - Trevor Lawrence after their win against the Eagles in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Montgomery, David

Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Washington, Parker
TE Strange, Brenton
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Tuten, Bhayshul 

Statistical Leaders


Houston Texans
Passing: C.J. Stroud (1,402)
Rushing: Woody Marks (149)
Receiving: Nico Collins (249)
Touchdowns: David Montgomery (3)

Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: Trevor Lawrence (1,174)
Rushing: Bhayshul Tuten (349)
Receiving: Parker Washington (352)
Touchdowns: Parker Washington (4)

Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (4th season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Liam Coen (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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