by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 5, 2025
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texans -1.5, Ravens -1.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texans -1.5, Ravens -1.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texans -2, Ravens -2; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
Houston Texans: 1-3 (3rd place, AFC South)
Baltimore Ravens: 1-3 (3rd place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Houston Texans: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 26-0.
Baltimore Ravens: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 37-20.
Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis
The Texans are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 26-0. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 22/28 passes for 233 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Danielle Hunter and Jalen Pitre each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Danielle Hunter led the defense in sacks with 2. Derek Stingley Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Ravens are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 37-20. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 14/20 passes for 147 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Justice Hill led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 1 TD. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Marlon Humphrey led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Tavius Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Texans vs Ravens Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall, but they haven't been getting blown out in their losses. They have a really good defense that has been keeping them in tight games, and they are finally coming off their first win of the season now so they have some momentum coming into this one. Meanwhile, the Ravens haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-3 record overall and they are now dealing with some injury troubles. They are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs in their last one and they lost their starting QB Lamar Jackson in that one. Jackson is the engine that makes this offense run and without him they are going to struggle a lot. It doesn't help that their defense has also looked terrible this season, giving up a ton of points in every game. This is a game that the Texans can win with their defense and their offense also looked a lot better last week, they should have no issues against this Ravens defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Texans Ravens Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 5, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 21 Ravens 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Houston Texans: 24-32 ATS off a win against a division rival. 19-34 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 26-14 UNDER in all games. 14-7 UNDER as a favorite. 5-1 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points.
Baltimore Ravens: 5-1 ATS against AFC South division opponents. 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 5-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 5-0 UNDER against AFC South division opponents.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans: N. Collins (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Reed (S) Injured - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Injured - Oblique. W. Anderson Jr. (DL) Injured - Rest. H. Bryant (TE) Injured - Shoulder. F. Fatukasi (DL) Injured - Shoulder. D. Autry (DL) Injured - Knee.
Baltimore Ravens: C. Awuzie (CB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Hamilton (S) Injured - Groin. M. Humphrey (CB) Injured - Calf. L. Jackson (QB) Injured - Hamstring. E. Jones Jr. (OT) Injured - Shoulder. T. Jones (DL) Injured - Knee. T. Linderbaum (C) Injured - Calf. P. Ricard (FB) Injured - Calf. R. Smith (LB) Injured - Hamstring. R. Stanley (OT) Injured - Ankle. B. Urban (DL) Injured - Finger. K. Van Noy (LB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Walker (WR) Injured - Oblique. N. Wiggins (CB) Injured - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“When we go out and execute the right way that’s what it can look like. We’ve been there. We just haven’t played clean football." - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
“I'm concerned but I'm not overwhelmed by it. Three losses to probably three of the top teams in the league. We've got to win the next game, and then once you win the next game, then you have a chance to start stacking some wins." - John Harbaugh after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Higgins, Jayden
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Marks, Woody
FB Brooks, British
Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Wallace, Tylan
WR Flowers, Zay
TE Andrews, Mark
QB Rush, Cooper
RB Henry, Derrick
FB Ricard, Patrick
Statistical Leaders
Houston Texans
Passing: C.J. Stroud (832)
Rushing: Nick Chubb (188)
Receiving: Nico Collins (260)
Touchdowns: Nico Collins (2)
Baltimore Ravens
Passing: Lamar Jackson (869)
Rushing: Derrick Henry (284)
Receiving: Zay Flowers (305)
Touchdowns: Derrick Henry (3)
Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (3rd season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (18th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
