Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/27/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 27, 2026

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  SCHN, FDSSE-MEM

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets -12.5, Grizzlies +12.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets -12.5, Grizzlies +12.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets -12.5, Grizzlies +12.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Houston Rockets:  43-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  24-48 (4th place, Southwest Division)

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Houston Rockets:  4-6 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  1-9 last 10

The Rockets are entering this game with a 43-29 record overall this season and they are 18-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Kevin Durant and Alperen Şengün each led the team in points in that game with 30 while Jabari Smith Jr. was next on the team with 16 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jabari Smith Jr. led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40.9% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 92% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 30-42 this season and their O/U record is 31-40-1.

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 24-48 record overall this season and they are 12-22 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Charlotte Hornets, the Atlanta Hawks, and the San Antonio Spurs. GG Jackson II led the team in points in that game with 20 while Olivier-Maxence Prosper was next on the team with 17 points. Cam Spencer led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Taylor Hendricks led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 39.5% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.1 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 33-39 this season and their O/U record is 34-38.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 43-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 18-19 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies haven't looked good in their games this season with their 24-48 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They haven't looked good on their home court either with their 12-22 home record this season. The Grizzlies haven't been good all season, but lately they have been one of the worst teams in the NBA with some key players missing for them too. They are 1-9 in their last 10 games and they have 4 losses in a row now too. They have been losing to some good teams lately, but they haven't been that competitive in a lot of their losses either. The Rockets haven't looked any better lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off of a bad road loss to the Timberwolves, blowing a 13 point lead in OT. They completely collapsed in that OT and now they have lost 2 games in a row, but they will be looking to bounce back big against an inferior opponent and they are in desperate need of a get right game. As bad as the Rockets have been lately, they still have a lot more talent on their team with one of the best defenses in the NBA and this is a very winnable game for them. Look for the Rockets to get themselves back on track here and beat up on a bad opponent who has not looked competitive lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 27, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 111 Grizzlies 92.

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Houston Rockets: 5-9 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 11-25 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 9-16 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. 8-4 UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less.

Memphis Grizzlies: 6-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 12-4 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 5-2 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 7-3 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Houston Rockets:  S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Wells (SG) Day To Day - Toe. J. Mashack (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Morant (PG) Out For Season - Elbow. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Calf. S. Aldama (PF) Out For Season - Knee. S. Pippen Jr. (PG) Out For Season - Toe. Z. Edey (C) Out For Season - Ankle. T. Jerome (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Out For Season - Finger.

“A lot (of the losses) have this year. That’s just the worst one of them.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Wednesday. 

“It feels like it’s been several seasons within one season, the way it’s transpired. In the beginning, we were trying to bring everybody up to speed. That was obviously challenging with a lot of guys injured. I thought we found a rhythm when Zach came back for those 11 games, and even a little beyond that.” - Tuomas Iisalo after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday.

PG Amen Thompson

SG Reed Sheppard

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PG Ty Jerome

SG Cedric Coward

SF Jaylen Wells

PF GG Jackson

C Olivier-Maxence Prosper

PPG: Kevin Durant (26)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.1)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (8.9)

PPG: Ty Jerome (19.7)

APG: Ja Morant (8.1)

Reb/G: Zach Edey (11.1)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (2nd season)