Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/10/2026

Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, July 10, 2026

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -143, Rangers +119; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -140, Rangers +120; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -145, Rangers +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Houston Astros:  46-49 (3rd place, AL West)

Texas Rangers:  46-46 (2nd place, AL West)

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Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10

Texas Rangers:  6-4 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-49 record overall and have a road record of 23-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Spencer Arrighetti was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 4 BB with 3 SO on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rangers lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1. They enter this game with a 46-46 record overall and have a home record of 21-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Angels still to be played on Thursday. The Rangers won the series opener on Tuesday and lost the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Cal Quantrill is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA this season. His team lost 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-49 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They haven't been a great road team either with their 23-25 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-46 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark either with their 21-21 home record this season. The Rangers are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have looked better lately than the Astros who are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but the Astros are going to have the better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that. The Astros are going with Brown in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and the team has been having a lot of success with him lately. He did give up 6 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him and the team has still won 2 games in a row now with him starting. The Rangers are going with Quantrill in this one and he hasn't looked good this year. He is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA, but the team has had a lot of trouble with him. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but they have lost 7 of their last 8 games with him pitching and the Rangers don't have a great offense to help him out either. The Astros have also been one of the hottest teams over the last few weeks as they were well below .500 and now have themselves back in the division race. Look for the Astros to take advantage of this pitching matchup and use this game to gain some ground in the division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 10, 2026 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 4 Rangers 2.

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Houston Astros: 122-93 (+10.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 159-134 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less. 145-124 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 30-23 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse.

Texas Rangers: 205-211 (-21.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 60-69 (-20.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 159-155 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 9-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.

Houston Astros:  K. Teng (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. J. Pena (SS) Ten Day IL - Calf. C. Correa (SS) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. B. Sousa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. H. Wesneski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Blanco (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Walter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  J. Jung (3B) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Junis (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hip. C. Seager (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. W. Langford (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. C. Freeman (3B) Ten Day IL - Disc. J. Leiter (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. M. Helman (CF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. J. Beeks (RP) Ten Day IL - Back. D. Jansen (C) Ten Day IL - Forearm. R. Garcia (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Baumler (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Just grateful to be part of his journey. I watched him compete at a high level for a long time and help us win a championship. He’s super competitive on the mound and is one of the best right-handed pitchers that I’ve been around.” - Joe Espada on Justin Verlander’s retirement announcement after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Wednesday.

“Today the fastball-changeup was really good, and then the curveball just got hit. It got hit a few times and it got hit pretty hard. The first inning is obviously the adjustment we’ve got to make -- as far as the whole staff, quite honestly -- trying to put more zeros there.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Yordan Alvarez (L) DH

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Cam Smith (R) RF

Yainer Diaz (R) C

Brice Matthews (R) CF

Zach Dezenzo (R) LF

Nick Allen (R) SS

Joc Pederson (L) DH

Josh Smith (L) 2B

Jake Burger (R) 1B

Brandon Nimmo (L) RF

Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B

Evan Carter (L) CF

Alejandro Osuna (L) LF

Elias Díaz (R) C

Nicky Lopez (L) SS

Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.310)

Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (105)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (29)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (67)

Stolen Bases:  Cam Smith (9)

Wins:  Spencer Arrighetti (7)

Saves:  Josh Hader (10)

ERA:  Miguel Ullola (0.00)

Batting Average:  Nicky Lopez (.330)

Hits:  Josh Jung (96)

Home Runs:  Jake Burger (15)

RBI:  Jake Burger (53)

Stolen Bases:  Evan Carter (11)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (9)

Saves:  Jacob Latz (18)

ERA:  Ben Peoples (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (3rd season)

Texas Rangers: Skip Schumaker (1st season)