Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2025

Game Time: 2:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 9, 2025

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -126, Yankees +104; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Houston Astros:  64-51 (1st place, AL West)

New York Yankees:  61-54 (3rd place, AL East)

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Houston Astros:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-51 record overall and have a road record of 29-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-5 with a 2.83 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-54 record overall and have a home record of 34-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .776 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Friday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 walks with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 3.1 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have looked great in their games this season with their 64-51 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL West. They have been a good road team too with their 29-27 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 61-54 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East and in the Wild Card race. They have looked great in their own ballpark though with their 34-22 home record this year. As good as the Yankees have looked at home this year, they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and the Astros do have the better pitching matchup in this one. Valdez is on the mound for the Astros here and he has been their ace this season. He is 11-5 with a 2.83 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He did give up 5 earned runs in his last start and the team has now lost 2 games in a row with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the team was on a huge winning streak with Valdez before these last 2 starts he made. He is going to be looking to bounce back with a better performance here and the Yankees haven't been putting up a ton of runs lately either. The Yankees are also going with Gil in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He has only made 1 start this year as he is coming back from an injury, but he gave up 5 earned runs in a loss to the Marlins in that start. This is a much stronger Astros lineup he is going to face here and they have been getting hot lately too. The Astros are going to bring their best effort for the Yankees like they usually do and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 9, 2025 (2:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 6 Yankees 2.

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Houston Astros: 249-201 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 168-139 (-41.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 149-128 (-23.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 45-27 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season.

New York Yankees: 57-33 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 53-54 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 122-77 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season. 30-18 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

Houston Astros:  I. Paredes (3B) Sixty Day IL - Hamstring. B. Walter (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Finger. B. Rodgers (2B) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Meyers (CF) Ten Day IL - Calf. Z. Dezenzo (RF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. Y. Alvarez (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. S. Dubin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. P. Leon (RF) Sixty Day IL - Knee. R. Blanco (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. H. Wesneski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Javier (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. France (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

New York Yankees:  A. Slater (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Loaisiga (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“I thought he kind of missed some pitches out over the plate. A combination of that and some soft contact also. A little rusty there, but stuff-wise, I thought he was spinning the ball well. The shape of his pitches was pretty good.” - Joe Espada on Spencer Arrighetti after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

“What a great, gutsy effort.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Wednesday.

Carlos Correa (R) 3B

Jesús Sánchez (L) LF

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Christian Walker (R) 1B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Yainer Diaz (R) DH

Taylor Trammell (L) CF

Cam Smith (R) RF

Mauricio Dubón (R) SS

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Aaron Judge (R) DH

Cody Bellinger (L) RF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jasson Domínguez (S) LF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

Batting Average:  Carlos Correa (.346)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (120)

Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (19)

RBI:  Christian Walker (61)

Stolen Bases:  Jeremy Peña (15)

Wins:  Framber Valdez (11)

Saves:  Josh Hader (28)

ERA:  Shawn Dubin (1.33)

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.600)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (130)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (19)

Wins:  Max Fried (12)

Saves:  Devin Williams (17)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (2nd season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)