Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/28/2025

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, September 28, 2025

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Packers -7, Cowboys +7; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Packers -6.5, Cowboys +6.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Packers -7, Cowboys +7; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Green Bay Packers:  2-1 (1st place, NFC North)

Dallas Cowboys:  1-2 (3rd place, NFC East)

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Green Bay Packers:  lost their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 13-10.

Dallas Cowboys:  lost their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 31-14.

The Packers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 13-10. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 183 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 30. Matthew Golden led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Rashan Gary and Harrison Phillips each led the defense in sacks with 2. Xavier McKinney came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Chicago Bears 31-14. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 31/40 passes for 251 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 76. Jake Ferguson led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 13 receptions. Donovan Wilson led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They are off their first loss of the season after winning 2 games in a row at home to open up, but that was a game in which they had a 10 point lead late in Cleveland and found ways to lose that game 13-10. They are going to be looking to bounce back after that loss though and they are going to be motivated to bring their best effort for their teammate Micah Parsons who is now facing his former team here. Meanwhile, the Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. Their defense has been terrible with one of the worst defenses in the NFL in the first 3 weeks of the season, and their only win was against a bad Giants team in a game in which they gave up 37 points. This Packers offense wasn't great last week against a good Browns defense, but they will be looking to bounce back and they are going to have a much better night against the Cowboys defense. The Cowboys are also off a bad loss to the Bears in their last one and they lost their number 1 WR in that game so this offense isn't going to look as good here, especially when the Packers have one of the best defenses in the NFL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Packers Cowboys Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 28, 2025 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Packers 35 Cowboys 13.

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Green Bay Packers: 10-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 10-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. 8-4 ATS in games played on turf. 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 8-2 UNDER after a loss by 6 or less points.

Dallas Cowboys: 0-4 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 4-11 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 0-5 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 7-2 UNDER off a road loss. 6-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Green Bay Packers:  C. Heck (OT) Injured - Knee. B. Mayfield (QB) Injured - Biceps. T. Wirfs (OT) Injured - Knee. M. Evans (WR) Injured - Hamstring. L. Hall (DL) Injured - Groin. C. Izien (S) Injured - Quadricep. L. David (LB) Injured - Knee. C. Godwin Jr. (WR) Injured - Ankle.

Dallas Cowboys:  T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Lamb (WR) Injured - Ankle. D. Bland (CB) Injured - Foot. T. Booker (OG) Injured - Ankle. T. Bridges (CB) Injured - Knee.

“That was extremely disappointing, obviously. To have an opportunity to win the game and have them flip the script late is tough to deal with. We played well enough defensively to win the game, but we didn’t do a good enough job on offense and special teams.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Browns in their last game. 

“This can be a humbling business. If you don't take care of business, you don't play well, then you're not going to win. We've got to stop giving up big plays on defense, and we got to stop turning the ball over on offense. It's a bad formula.” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s loss against the Bears in their last game. 

WR Doubs, Romeo

WR Golden, Matthew

WR Wicks, Dontayvion

TE Kraft, Tucker

QB Love, Jordan

RB Jacobs, Josh

WR Pickens, George

WR Lamb, CeeDee

WR Tolbert, Jalen

TE Ferguson, Jake

QB Prescott, Dak

RB Williams, Javonte

FB Luepke, Hunter

Passing: Jordan Love (663)

Rushing: Josh Jacobs (180)

Receiving: Tucker Kraft (169)

Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (2)

Passing: Dak Prescott (800)

Rushing: Javonte Williams (227)

Receiving: CeeDee Lamb (222)

Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (3)

Coaches:

Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)

Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)