Georgia State Panthers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/20/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 20, 2025

Venue:  FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  GA State +27.5, Vandy -27.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  GA State +27, Vandy -27; Over/Under:  53 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  GA State +26.5, Vandy -26.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Georgia State Panthers:  1-2 (0-0) (6th place, Sun Belt East)

Vanderbilt Commodores:  3-0 (1-0) (2nd place, SEC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Big Al McMordie is on a HOT STREAK in college football on an 11-4 CFB RUN for +$6,600 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Georgia State Panthers:  won their last game at home against the Murray State Racers 37-21.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  won their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 31-7.

Georgia State is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Murray State 37-21. TJ Finley was the starting QB and he completed 11/18 passes for 150 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Branson Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 65. Ted Hurst led the receivers with 172 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 2 TDs. Deuce Fillmore led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while D-Icey Hopkins and Alex Mullings each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against South Carolina 31-7. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 177 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jamezell Lassiter led the team in rushing yards with 44 and 1 TD. Eli Stowers led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 3 receptions. CJ Heard led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Nick Rinaldi and Bryce Cowan each led the defense in sacks with 1. Bryan Longwell came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 27.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are off a huge 31-7 win on the road against a ranked South Carolina team, and now Vanderbilt is a ranked team so they don't want to give any reasons on why they should lose that in this game. They lost to Georgia State last season too, but they will definitely bring their best effort to get them back here at home as they have a much improved team this year. Meanwhile, Georgia State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They have played 2 tougher opponents as they lost to Ole Miss and Memphis, but neither of those games were close and their defense has been giving up a ton of points this year. They are off their first win of the season last week, but they beat a team from the FCS at home and still gave up 21 points to them. This Vanderbilt team has a lot more talent this season and they aren't going to let what happened to them last season happen again this year. Georgia State is not a team that they are overlooking and they won't take their foot off the gas once they have a lead. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game. 

Georgia State Vanderbilt Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 20, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Vanderbilt 49 GA State 7.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Georgia State Panthers Vanderbilt Commodores prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

Georgia State Panthers: 17-9 ATS off a home win. 28-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 8-1 OVER as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 

Vanderbilt Commodores: 0-4 ATS against Sun Belt conference opponents. 16-24 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game. 9-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.

Georgia State Panthers:  S. Mells (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  Y. Ouattara (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.

"Wins are hard to come by, and we're gonna celebrate them when we do have them. We still have some things that we need to work on in all three phases, but really proud of our guys' effort." - Dell McGee after his team’s win against Murray State in their last game. 

“I want coach Johnson to know that love him and that he is here with us. That performance was for him and we wanted to win that game for coach. I wanted to take a moment to honor him.” - Clark Lea after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game. 

WR Hurst, Ted

WR Blackburn, Leo

WR Riles, DJ

TE Overton-Howard, Camden

QB Veilleux, Christian

RB Amos, Rashad

WR Sherrill, Junior

WR Hudson, Trent

WR Richardson, Tre

TE Stowers, Eli

QB Pavia, Diego

RB Alexander, Sedrick

Passing: T. Finley (351)

Rushing: R. Amos (139)

Receiving: T. Hurst (275)

Touchdowns: T. Hurst (2)

Passing: D. Pavia (645)

Rushing: S. Alexander (197)

Receiving: T. Richardson (162)

Touchdowns: S. Alexander (5)

Coaches:

Georgia State Panthers: Dell McGee (2nd season)

Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (5th season)