Florida Gators vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/11/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 11, 2025

Venue:  Kyle Field, College Station, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida +7.5, Texas A&M -7.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida +7.5, Texas A&M -7.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida +7.5, Texas A&M -7.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Florida Gators:  2-3 (1-1) (10th place, SEC)

Texas A&M Aggies:  5-0 (2-0) (3rd place, SEC)

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Florida Gators:  won their last game at home against the Texas Longhorns 29-21.

Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game at home against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-9.

Florida is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas 29-21. DJ Lagway was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 298 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jadan Baugh led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 1 TD. Dallas Wilson led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Bryce Thornton led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Brien Taylor Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Devin Moore and Jordan Castell each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 31-9. Marcel Reed was the starting QB and he completed 13/23 passes for 180 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rueben Owens II led the team in rushing yards with 142. Mario Craver led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Taurean York led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Cashius Howell led the defense in sacks with 3. Daymion Sanford came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has looked great in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are off a 31-9 win over Mississippi State in their last one and they are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation. Their offense has been rolling all season as they put up a ton of points in their games and their defense hasn't looked great, but they have looked a lot better in their last 2 games and could be very dangerous in the SEC with the way they have been playing. Meanwhile, Florida hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They finally got a big win in their last one as they pulled off a huge upset win over Texas at home, but that was the first time all season that Florida actually looked good on the field. Texas hasn't looked great in any games this season either so that win could age poorly, just like their close performance against LSU. Both of Florida's wins also came at home and they are 0-2 in road games this season so they aren't going to look as good as they did last week, especially against a stronger team in the conference. Texas A&M has been improving on defense in recent weeks and Florida doesn't have the offense to keep up with them on the road either. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 28 Florida 13.

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Florida Gators: 8-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 8-4 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 4-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 13-5 OVER against conference opponents. 9-5 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.

Texas A&M Aggies: 10-18 ATS in all lined games. 5-10 ATS after playing a game at home. 1-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 4-1 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 8-2 OVER after a win by 17 or more points. 12-5 OVER after playing a game at home. 

Florida Gators:  M. Tounkara (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Mbatchou (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Gates (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Banks (DL) Questionable - Foot. D. Johnson (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. McCray (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Webb (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Texas A&M Aggies:  L. Moss (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Williams (LB) Questionable - Ankle. B. Anderson (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Myles (WR) Out - Leg.

“It's us against the world. That's our mentality.” - DJ Lagway after their win against Texas in their last game. 

“We’ve just got to keep grinding and continuing to get better. You’re in an SEC football game, and SEC football games are not easy.” - Mike Elko after his team’s win against Mississippi State in their last game. 

WR Wilson, Dallas

WR Sturdivant, J. Michael

WR Brown III, Vernell

TE Hansen, Hayden

QB Lagway, DJ

RB Baugh, Jadan

WR Bethel-Roman, Ashton

WR Concepcion, KC

WR Craver, Mario

TE Boerkircher, Nate

QB Reed, Marcel

RB Moss, Le'Veon

Passing: DJ Lagway (988)

Rushing: Jadan Baugh (396)

Receiving: Vernell Brown III (291)

Touchdowns: Jadan Baugh (3)

Passing: Marcel Reed (1,256)

Rushing: Le'Veon Moss (343)

Receiving: Mario Craver (557)

Touchdowns: Le'Veon Moss (5)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Billy Napier (4th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (2nd season)