Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/09/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Sep 08, 2025
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  TBS, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  82-62 (1st place, AL Central)
New York Yankees:  80-63 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  4-6 last 10
New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10



Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Tigers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 82-62 record overall and have a road record of 36-33. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Charlie Morton was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Casey Mize is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 13-5 with a 3.87 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 SO on 5 hits through 5 IP against the New York Mets.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 80-63 record overall and have a home record of 43-29. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .784 OPS. Max Fried was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-6 with a 4.28 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 walks with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Houston Astros.


Tigers vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers have looked great in their games this season with their 82-62 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 36-33 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 80-63 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 43-29 home record. The Yankees have also been rolling lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Tigers are 4-6, but the Tigers do have the better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that. The Tigers are going with Mize in this one and he has been a solid starter for them this year. He is 13-5 with a 3.87 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He is coming off another good start in which he gave up 1 earned run, something that has been a common theme for him lately, and the team has had a ton of success with him too, winning 6 of their last 7 games with him on the mound. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 8-6 with a 4.28 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs this year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him lately and the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Tigers have the edge with these starters, especially since both teams have great bullpens and great offenses. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game. 

Tigers Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, September 9, 2025 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Tigers 4 Yankees 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Detroit Tigers: 250-226 (+27.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 123-114 (+26.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 111-140 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 28-18 OVER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse.

New York Yankees: 263-217 (-25.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 133-108 (-27.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 199-153 (-37.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 40-29 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries


Detroit Tigers:  K. Finnegan (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Abductor. M. Vierling (CF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. P. Sewald (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Olson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. S. Guenther (RP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. J. Jobe (SP) Sixty Day IL - Flexor. J. Foley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Cobb (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. T. Madden (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  B. Headrick (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Ten free passes, either by a walk or a hit-by-pitch. We thought we were getting away with it for a while, and then in the end we couldn’t. It’s just more opportunities as more guys roll in the lineup, kinda got to deal with the top of their lineup. Again, it just wasn’t a good day on the mound for us with the free passes.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


“He really buckled down. To get us seven innings [when] we were a little short at the back today, I thought it was a really good effort.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Tigers
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Kerry Carpenter (L) LF
Riley Greene (L) DH
Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
Wenceel Pérez (S) RF
Colt Keith (L) 3B
Zach McKinstry (L) SS
Jake Rogers (R) C
Parker Meadows (L) CF

New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
Ben Rice (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Austin Wells (L) C
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Brewer Hicklen (.667)
Hits:  Riley Greene (143)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (32)
RBI:  Riley Greene (103)
Stolen Bases:  Zach McKinstry (19)
Wins:  Casey Mize (13)
Saves:  Will Vest (20)
ERA:  Kyle Finnegan (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.389)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (154)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (43)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (97)
Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (27)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (16)
Saves:  Devin Williams (18)
ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (5th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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