Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, May 11, 2026

Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pistons +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  212.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pistons +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  212.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pistons +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  212.5 points

Detroit Pistons:  60-22 (1st place, Central Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  52-30 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Detroit Pistons:  6-4 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10

The Pistons are entering the playoffs with a 60-22 record overall this season and they were 28-13 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cade Cunningham led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tobias Harris was next on the team with 21 points. Cade Cunningham led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Cade Cunningham led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.1% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 49-43 this season and their O/U record is 42-49-1.

The Cavaliers are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 27-14 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Detroit Pistons. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 35 while James Harden was next on the team with 19 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Donovan Mitchell led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 58.1% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 37-55 this season and their O/U record is 46-46.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pistons have looked great in their games this season with their 60-22 record overall which had them right at the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 28-13 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have looked good in their games this season with their 52-30 record overall which had them in the top half of the East. They have looked good on their home court too with their 27-14 home record this season. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 1 seeded Pistons and the 4 seeded Cavaliers in the East for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. The Pistons are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead after the Cavaliers won game 3 by a score of 116-109. The Cavaliers didn't look great to start this series. They were down 2-0 after the first 2 road games and both losses were by double digits as they pretty much trailed in both of those games. They had the same issue in the last round against the Raptors, losing all 3 of their road games in the series, but they did look a lot better on their home court in that series and that has continued into this one. Now they have their foot back in the series with a home win and they are going to bring their best effort to even it up here. They have some momentum on their side now after snapping the 5 game win streak that the Pistons were on, and the Pistons were still really up and down in the 1st round against the Magic. The Cavaliers are also the more experienced team in the playoffs and still looking to get redemption for last season when they were the top seed in the East, so look for the Cavaliers to stay undefeated at home in these playoffs and send this series back to Detroit tied. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pistons Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 11, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 114 Pistons 108.

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Detroit Pistons: 13-3 ATS as an underdog. 7-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 16-7 ATS on the road versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 12-6 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 17-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 27-45 ATS as a favorite. 3-7 ATS off a win against a division rival. 8-15 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 12-6 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 8-3 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Detroit Pistons:  K. Huerter (SG) Day To Day - Adductor.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  None.

“I don’t want to say they were careless turnovers because I care about it a lot. They were just bad turnovers.” - Cade Cunningham after their loss against the Cavaliers in the 3rd game of this series on Saturday.

“We know how important it is to get this first win to make it a series. So, really a team win where a lot of guys contributed tonight.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Pistons in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

PG Cade Cunningham

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Ausar Thompson

PF Tobias Harris

C Jalen Duren

PG James Harden

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Dean Wade

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PPG: Cade Cunningham (23.9)

APG: Cade Cunningham (9.9)

Reb/G: Jalen Duren (10.5)

PPG: Donovan Mitchell (27.9)

APG: James Harden (7.7)

Reb/G: Evan Mobley (9)

Coaches:

Detroit Pistons: J.B. Bickerstaff (2nd season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (2nd season)