Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 12, 2026

Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

Where to Watch:  ALT, FDSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Spurs -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Spurs -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Spurs -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  39-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  48-17 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  4-6 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  9-1 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 39-26 record overall this season and they are 22-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the New York Knicks and the Oklahoma City Thunder, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Houston Rockets still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Thunder, Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 32 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 28 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 45.9% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 72.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 36-29 this season and their O/U record is 41-24.

The Spurs are entering this game with a 48-17 record overall this season and they are 25-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Detroit Pistons, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Houston Rockets, and the Boston Celtics. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 39 while De'Aaron Fox was next on the team with 25 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.8% from the field, 42.6% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 37-27-2 this season and their O/U record is 28-38.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 48-17 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 25-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 39-26 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 22-13 road record this year. The Nuggets have looked like one of the best teams in the West all season and they were missing Jokic for a lot of the year too. Now they have been healthy and they are still one of the best in the West, but they haven't looked that great lately and they aren't in a great situation for this game either. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now too. They have been losing to some good opponents, but now they are on a back-to-back here and they don't have an easy game the night before against the Rockets. The Spurs have been rolling in their games lately though and they are starting to look like they could even pass the Thunder for the number 1 seed in the West. The Spurs are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. They are off a 9 point win over the red hot Celtics in their last one too and they have the rest on their side. Look for the Spurs to continue rolling at home as they take advantage of a Nuggets team in a bad situation that hasn't been at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 12, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 127 Nuggets 117.

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Denver Nuggets: 22-13 ATS in road games. 8-4 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 6-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 8-4 OVER against Southwest division opponents. 25-10 OVER in road games.

San Antonio Spurs: 15-23 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 1-4 ATS at home against Northwest division opponents. 0-3 ATS at home after 3 or more consecutive overs. 25-14 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Johnson (PF) Day To Day - Back. P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.

San Antonio Spurs:  L. Waters III (SG) Day To Day - Illness. H. Barnes (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

“We threw a lot at him. Aaron came to trap him, but he went away from the trap. He had a hell of a shot, I mean, the stepback to his right, you can’t foul him, and I thought it was well contested. We just watched it.” - David Adelman after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Monday.

"He's kicked into another gear, for sure. I think the eye test proves it. I think his numbers prove it. I think that's an adult who's hitting his stride and turning it on when we need to and when he's trying to lead by example, and we need it." - Mitch Johnson on De’Aaron Fox after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Tuesday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Cameron Johnson

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Nikola Jokic (28.9)

APG: Nikola Jokic (10.3)

Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.5)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (24.2)

APG: Stephon Castle (6.9)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.1)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)