Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 25, 2026
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Nuggets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under: 229.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Nuggets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under: 229.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Nuggets -1.5, Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under: 229.5 points
Season Record
Denver Nuggets: 54-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves: 49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Nelly’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 7-0 NBA RUN for +$7,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Denver Nuggets: 8-2 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves: 5-5 last 10
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis
The Nuggets are entering the playoffs with a 54-28 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves twice in a row. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 16 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 34.1% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 45-40 this season and their O/U record is 52-33.
The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets twice in a row. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 20 points. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.3% from the field, 26.5% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 38-47 this season and their O/U record is 37-48.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 54-28 record overall which had them right near the top of the West. They have been a great road team too with their 26-15 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 26-15 home record this season. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 3 seeded Nuggets and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves have a 2-1 series lead after winning game 3 by a score of 113-96. The Nuggets looked great in the first 2 games of this series, but they ended up dropping game 2 at home. They had the lead for a lot of that game too, but they were outplayed late which gave the Timberwolves the opportunity to steal a road game. They had complete control of game 1 with a big effort in the 2nd half, but they were even trailing in the 1st half of that game. Now they have lost the momentum with 2 losses in a row and they looked terrible in game 3. They were down by double digits right from the start of that game and spent the entire night playing catch-up, being down by 20 points. The Timberwolves have been a thorn in the Nuggets' side before when it comes to playoff series' and they have shown in this series that they once again have the talent to go toe-to-toe with some of the best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have all of the momentum on their side entering this 4th game and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas now that they have flipped the home advantage in this series. Look for the Timberwolves to come out strong again at home and bring their best effort to put the Nuggets on the brink of elimination going back to Denver. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game.
Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 25, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 120 Nuggets 113.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.
NBA Betting Trends
Denver Nuggets: 14-7 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 26-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 19-10 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 9-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 5-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 10-16 ATS off a home win. 26-38 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 5-1 OVER in the 4th game of a playoff series.
Key Injuries
Denver Nuggets: A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.
Minnesota Timberwolves: J. Clark (SG) Day To Day - Illness. T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Illness. A. Edwards (SG) Day To Day - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“The shooting really put us behind the 8-ball to start the game. We only gave up 25 points in the first quarter. That’s actually a very good number. We just had a hard time making shots tonight. Our physicality offensively has got to get better." - David Adelman after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in the 3rd game of this series on Thursday.
“He’s the greatest offensive player I’ve guarded in my whole career. Just trying to enjoy the challenge.” - Rudy Gobert on Nikola Jokic after their win against the Nuggets in game 3 of this series on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Cameron Johnson
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Donte DiVincenzo
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert
Statistical Leaders
Denver Nuggets
PPG: Nikola Jokic (27.7)
APG: Nikola Jokic (10.7)
Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.9)
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)
APG: Julius Randle (5)
Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)