Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/30/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, January 30, 2026

Venue:  Chaifetz Arena, St. Louis, MO

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dayton +11.5, Saint Louis -11.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dayton +11.5, Saint Louis -11.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dayton +11.5, Saint Louis -11.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Dayton Flyers:  14-7 (5-3) (5th place, Atlantic 10)

Saint Louis Billikens:  20-1 (8-0) (1st place, Atlantic 10)

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Dayton Flyers:  2-3  last 5

Saint Louis Billikens:  5-0  last 5

Dayton is entering this game with a 14-7 record overall, a 5-3 record in conference games, and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Rhode Island Rams in their last game. Bryce Heard led the team in points in that game with 15 while Amaël L'Etang was next on the team with 13. Javon Bennett led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Keonte Jones led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.2% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 75.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.3 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 9-12 this season and their O/U record is 8-13.

Saint Louis is entering this game with a 20-1 record overall, an 8-0 conference record, and they are 14-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the George Washington Revolutionaries in their last game. Trey Green led the team in points in that game with 23 while Robbie Avila was next on the team with 22. Robbie Avila led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Robbie Avila led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 44.4% from the field, 38.7% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 PPG against them. Saint Louis has an ATS record of 12-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-9.

The current betting odds have Saint Louis listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Louis has looked great in their games this season with their 20-1 record overall and their 8-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Atlantic 10. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Dayton has looked good in their games this season with their 14-7 record overall and their 5-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the A10. They haven't been a great road team though with their 3-3 road record this year. Dayton had a solid start to the season, but lately they haven't looked that good. They are off a home loss to Rhode Island in their last one and they have lost 3 games in a row now after starting 5-0 in the A10. All 3 of these losses have been in tighter games, but they have also been against weaker opponents in the conference and now they have to play against the best team in the A10. Saint Louis only has 1 loss this season, which was against an opponent from a stronger conference, but they have won 14 games in a row now and have been one of the hottest teams in the nation. They are off a win over George Washington in their last one and they did struggle a bit in that home win, but that hasn't been a common theme for them on their home court. They crushed St Bonaventure on the road by over 20 points the game before and they have been rolling over conference opponents all season. Saint Louis got the win over GW, but it definitely wasn't a convincing win for them so they will be looking to bring a better effort in this home game against a team that has been struggling in their last 3. The best way to place a bet here is on Saint Louis to cover the spread in this game. 

Dayton Saint Louis Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, January 30, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Saint Louis 80 Dayton 62.

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Dayton Flyers: 9-5 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 7-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 5-1 UNDER in road games. 8-3 UNDER after playing a home game.

Saint Louis Billikens: 16-24 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 36-46 ATS in all games. 10-1 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival. 5-0 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 

Dayton Flyers:  J. Derkack (G) Questionable - Foot. J. McKie (G) Out - Shoulder.

Saint Louis Billikens:  J. Schertz (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Dunlap (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anya (F) Out - Redshirt.

“I have to do a better job. I have to figure out how to make sure our guys understand what this is all about, what their responsibility is to each other, to the group as a whole, to the university, to the community, to everybody, right? We didn’t honor that today. That’s on me.” - Anthony Grant after his team’s loss against Rhode Island in their last game. 

"It's just what I do. We've had many a moments in my career when we go to me, and I'm known to hit those shots. And I'm comfortable with that. KT trusted me on that. Kicked it out. Hit the shot, let's go home." - Robbie Avila after their win against GW in their last game. 

J. Bennett 

J. Derkack 

K. Jones 

A. L'Etang 

D. Montgomery

R. Avila 

D. Brown 

T. Green 

Q. Jones 

A. McCottry

PPG: Javon Bennett (16.3)

APG: Javon Bennett (3.2)

Reb/G: Keonte Jones (5.9)

PPG: Robbie Avila (13.1)

APG: Robbie Avila (4)

Reb/G: Dion Brown (5.9)

Coaches:

Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (9th season)

Saint Louis Billikens: Josh Schertz (2nd season)