Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/11/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 10, 2025
 
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 11, 2025
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +110, Avalanche -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +100, Avalanche -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +110, Avalanche -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  1-0-0 (4th place, Central Division)
Colorado Avalanche:  2-0-0 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  1-0-0 last 1
Colorado Avalanche:  2-0-0 last 2



Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game with 2 points, a 1-0-0 record overall, and they are 1-0-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-4. Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, Nils Lundkvist, Tyler Seguin, and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz, and Thomas Harley each led the team in assists with 2 while Jason Robertson led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 25 shots with 21 saves and a .840 save percentage. Their offense has scored 5 goals this season averaging 5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 4 goals against them allowing 4 goals per game.


The Avalanche are entering this game with 4 points, a 2-0-0 record overall, and they are 1-0-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Mammoth in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1. Nathan MacKinnon and Ross Colton each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Cale Makar, Jack Drury, Martin Nečas, and Victor Olofsson each led the team in assists with 1 while Nathan MacKinnon and Ross Colton each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 33 shots with 32 saves and a .970 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 6 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 2 goals against them allowing 1 goal per game.


Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked great in their games this season with their 2-0-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the West already. They got off to a slow start last season, but they have been hot to start this season and will be looking to stay hot as they do have one of the best teams in the West. Their offense has been rolling with a lot of goals scored in their 2 games, but their defense has also looked great which is a big improvement for this team. Meanwhile, the Stars have also looked good this season with their 1-0-0 record overall. They won their season opener on the road against the Jets 5-4 and their offense looked great in that game. They jumped out early against a Jets team that has been good defensively over the last few years and they were always leading in that game, but the defense didn't look great. They still gave up 4 goals in that one and almost blew their lead. The Stars have a new head coach this season and they still have one of the best teams in the West, but the Avalanche have looked a lot better in both of their games. The Avalanche are a tough team to beat when they start rolling and they do have the advantage with an extra game under their belt. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Stars Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, October 11, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Stars 3.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 122-79 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 43-29 (+5.1 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 60-37 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game.

Colorado Avalanche: 110-74 (-4.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-31 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 47-42 (-24.3 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  J. Benn (LW) Out - Lung. O. Back (C) Out - Undisclosed. K. McDonald (RW) Out - Knee. C. Wheatcroft (C) Out - Wrist. L. Krys (D) Out - Achilles.

Colorado Avalanche:  M. Blackwood (G) Day To Day - Lower-body. L. O'Connor (RW) Out - Hip. I. Solovyov (D) Out - Not Injury Related. S. Behrens (D) Out - Undisclosed. N. Prishchepov (C) Out - Undisclosed. R. Attard (D) Out - Lower-body. J. MacDonald (D) Out - Hip.


Notable Quotes


“Nothing mimics the first round of playoffs more, in my opinion, than the first five (or) six games of the season. Everybody's juiced up. There's a lot of energy in the buildings. Everybody's healthy, for the most part, and there's a lot of energy. And the games can get a little crazy, and that's what happened tonight.” - Glen Gulutzan after his team’s win against the Jets in their game on Thursday. 


“We don't win without [Wedgewood] tonight, for sure. I don't like leaning on our goalie like that, but it didn't look like we had a lot of jump tonight. I thought they had much more jump than we did, for whatever reason, and some nights you have it, and some nights you don't. You got to find a way to grind through it, and on those nights you need your goalie big time, and we got him tonight.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Mammoth in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Sam Steel
C Roope Hintz
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Esa Lindell
RD Miro Heiskanen
G Jake Oettinger

Colorado Avalanche
LW Valeri Nichushkin
C Nathan MacKinnon
RW Martin Necas
LD Devon Toews
RD Cale Makar
G Scott Wedgewood

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: Mikko Rantanen (3)
Goals: Mikko Rantanen (1)
Assists: Mikko Rantanen (2)
GAA: Jake Oettinger (4.00)

Colorado Avalanche
Points: Martin Necas (3)
Goals: Martin Necas (2)
Assists: Cale Makar (3)
GAA: Scott Wedgewood (1.00)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Glen Gulutzan (1st season)
Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (10th season)

 

Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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