Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, November 12, 2026
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: NBA TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 7-4 (4th place, Southwest Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves: 8-3 (1st place, Northwest Division)
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Dallas Mavericks: 7-3 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves: 7-3 last 10
Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 7-4 record overall this season and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Indiana Pacers. Cooper Flagg led the team in points in that game with 43 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 35 points. Cooper Flagg led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Cooper Flagg led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.8% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 73.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.3 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 7-4 this season and their O/U record is 3-8.
The Timberwolves are entering this game with an 8-3 record overall this season and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Houston Rockets, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Utah Jazz. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in points in that game with 26 while LaMelo Ball was next on the team with 24 points. LaMelo Ball led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 49.4% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 84.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 10-1 this season and their O/U record is 5-6.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 4-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 7-4 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. The Mavericks have had a great start to the season with Dusty May taking over as their new head coach. Cooper Flagg has looked great this year with a healthy Irving by his side and the team has been rolling. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row, but they have also been beating up on some of the worst teams in the NBA during this run. The Timberwolves are also 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling to start the year. They lost Edwards to an injury early on, but they have still been rolling without him. LaMelo Ball has been a big addition for them and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They have also been beating up on bad teams lately, but they do have a really good road win over the Rockets during this run and the Timberwolves have been one of the best defensive teams in the league to start the season. That defense is going to play a big factor at home where they have looked a lot better this season, so look for the Timberwolves to continue rolling. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game.
Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Thursday, November 12, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 111 Mavericks 102.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas Mavericks: 16-24 ATS off a home win. 10-17 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 4-11 ATS on the road versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 15-9 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 10-3 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 13-7 ATS as a home underdog. 24-15 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 24-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 22-16 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 9-4 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest.
Key Injuries
Dallas Mavericks: M. Johnson Jr. (PF) Day To Day - Leg. S. De Larrea (PG) Day To Day - Knee. T. Biberovic (SF) Day To Day - Heel. D. Lively II (C) Day To Day - Foot.
Minnesota Timberwolves: A. Edwards (SG) Out - Knee. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
"How well they complement each other and how committed they are to simply trying to find a way to win. Whatever this game needs. They know when we’re going to one of the two, the other one’s very, very supportive because they have that much respect for each other and they’re both just such good guys and great teammates." - Dusty May on Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving playing well together this season.
"When Anthony went down, one of the first things — we went to Melo, and we said, 'you got to be more aggressive for yourself right now.' You know, he was doing such a great job of kind of deferring, getting everyone involved, trying to build chemistry across the board with everyone. But we needed him to be, you know, be more aggressive for himself." - Chris Finch on playing without Anthony Edwards.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks
PG Kyrie Irving
SG Caleb Martin
SF Cooper Flagg
PF P.J. Washington
C Daniel Gafford
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG LaMelo Ball
SG Ayo Dosunmu
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Rudy Gobert
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: Cooper Flagg (25.9)
APG: Cooper Flagg (6.9)
Reb/G: P.J. Washington (7.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: Anthony Edwards (33.3)
APG: LaMelo Ball (6)
Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (12.1)
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Dusty May (1st season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (7th season)