Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/20/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, February 20, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +12.5, Timberwolves -12.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +12.5, Timberwolves -12.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +12.5, Timberwolves -12.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  19-35 (4th place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  34-22 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  1-9 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 19-35 record overall this season and they are 5-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Charlotte Hornets, the Houston Rockets, the Boston Celtics, the San Antonio Spurs twice in a row, the Phoenix Suns, and the Lakers again. Naji Marshall and Max Christie each led the team in points in that game with 19 while P.J. Washington was next on the team with 18 points. Brandon Williams led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 49.4% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.4 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 23-31 this season and their O/U record is 24-30.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 34-22 record overall this season and they are 19-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks and the Portland Trail Blazers. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 41 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 21 points. Jaden McDaniels led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.7% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 82.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.8 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 25-31 this season and their O/U record is 28-28.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 34-22 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 19-10 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked terrible in their games this season with their 19-35 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 5-18 road record this year. The Mavericks have one of the worst road records in the NBA this season and they have struggled a lot all year as they have been dealing with injuries. It is clear that this is a team that is looking toward next season and they have looked terrible lately too. They have been one of the coldest teams in the NBA lately and went into the All-Star Break losing 9 games in a row. The Timberwolves have been one of the best teams in the West all season though and they have been getting into a groove lately. They went into the break with 2 wins in a row and they are also 7-3 in their last 10 games now. The Timberwolves have been a contender in the West over the last few years now too, so they will be looking to get hot coming out of the break and this is a bad time for a banged up Mavericks team to run into them, being one of the worst road teams in the NBA. Look for the Timberwolves to come out of the break rolling and beat up on a bad Mavs team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 20, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 132 Mavericks 108.

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Dallas Mavericks: 7-16 ATS in road games. 5-10 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 4-14 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 11-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Minnesota Timberwolves: 11-6 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 4-1 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 12-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 12-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. N. Marshall (SF) Day To Day - Foot. D. Gafford (C) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Flagg (SF) Out - Foot. D. Lively II (C) Out For Season - Foot.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Out - Foot.

“Physically, LeBron has taken care of his body. He’s always prepared himself for the marathon. But I think it’s the mental side that’s the hardest part.” - Jason Kidd on LeBron James after his team’s loss against the LA Lakers in their last game before the All-Star Break.

“I keep hearing he can come back, so hopefully he will, and I hope he sees this. We want you back, Mike. He knows we miss him.” - Anthony Edwards on wanting Mike Conley back on the team. 

PG Brandon Williams

SG Max Christie

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Marvin Bagley III

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Cooper Flagg (20.4)

APG: Ryan Nembhard (4.9)

Reb/G: Marvin Bagley III (8)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.3)

APG: Julius Randle (5.4)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.1)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (5th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)