by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 30, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 5, 2025
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys -3, Jets +3; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 1-2-1 (3rd place, NFC East)
New York Jets: 0-4 (4th place, AFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 27-19-1 NFL RUN for +$6,300 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys: tied their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 40-40 in overtime.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 27-21.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 1-2-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They tied their last game against the Green Bay Packers 40-40 in OT. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 31/40 passes for 319 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 85 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 134 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Jack Sanborn led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while James Houston led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 27-21. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 20/27 passes for 226 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 81. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Brandon Stephens and Andre Cisco each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Cowboys vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2-1 record overall, but they definitely haven't been terrible. They took a bad loss in Chicago to the Bears, but they bounced back at home last week with a 40-40 tie against the Packers and they have played some really close games against better opponents this year. Their defense has been terrible and they might have the worst defense in the NFL, but they definitely have a really good offense that can put up a ton of points. Their offense is going to keep them in games and they aren't playing against a good defense in this one. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-4 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They are off a 27-21 loss to the Dolphins in their last one, but that score was much closer than the actual game. The Jets struggled on offense all night, especially playing from behind, and turning the ball over has been a big issue for them all season along with penalties. This isn't a great situation for them either, playing on a short week after a Monday night game. The Cowboys are off a tie last week, but that sure felt more like a win for them and they should have some momentum coming into this one with the way the offense has looked all year. The Jets won't look as bad against this Dallas defense, but the Jets defense hasn't looked any better this season and the Jets won't be able to keep up with the Cowboys offensively. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 5, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 38 Jets 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Dallas Cowboys New York Jets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 8-2 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-2 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 6-0 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 9-4 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game. 4-1 OVER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%).
New York Jets: 14-23 ATS in all games. 2-8 ATS in non-conference games. 4-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-3 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 5-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: M. Hooker (S) Injured - Toe. T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Lamb (WR) Injured - Ankle. K. Murray Jr. (LB) Injured - Knee. M. Sanders (RB) Injured - Knee. K. Turpin (WR) Injured - Foot. J. Mingo (WR) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Knee. D. Bland (CB) Injured - Foot. C. Carson (CB) Injured - Knee. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Concussion. T. Booker (OG) Injured - Ankle.
New York Jets: B. Allen (RB) Injured - Knee. M. Carter II (CB) Injured - Concussion. J. Johnson (LB) Injured - Ankle. K. Nwangwu (RB) Injured - Hamstring. M. Taylor (TE) Injured - Ankle. J. Brownlee Jr. (CB) Injured - Ankle. J. Simpson (OG) Injured - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“No one in that locker room is happy. No one in that locker room is fulfilled. We didn’t win. I would be remiss if I didn’t say how proud I was of them and their fight.” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s tie against the Packers in their last game.
"Very disappointing, very disappointing. There is no way you can win any game with 13 penalties and three turnovers. It just can't happen." - Aaron Glenn after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Tolbert, Jalen
WR Turpin, KaVontae
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter
New York Jets
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Smith, Arian
TE Taylor, Mason
QB Fields, Justin
RB Hall, Breece
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (1,119)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (312)
Receiving: George Pickens (300)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (4)
New York Jets
Passing: Justin Fields (471)
Rushing: Breece Hall (238)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (311)
Touchdowns: Justin Fields (3)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
