by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 16, 2026
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 18, 2026
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +1.5, Packers -1.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +1, Packers -1; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +1, Packers -1; Over/Under: 53 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 2-3 (3rd place, NFC East)
Green Bay Packers: 3-2 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Dallas Cowboys: lost their last game at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-16.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 31-7.
Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-16. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 24/42 passes for 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 130 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Dee Winters led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Malachi Lawrence led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Packers are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 31-7. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 25/31 passes for 367 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. MarShawn Lloyd led the team in rushing yards with 31 and 2 TDs. Christian Watson led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Evan Williams led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles while Devonte Wyatt led the defense in sacks with 2. Xavier McKinney came away with 2 interceptions for them while Ty'Ron Hopper came away with 1 INT in that one.
Cowboys vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NFC North. They haven't looked great on their home field though with their 1-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys haven't looked good in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NFC East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 1-1 road record this year. The Cowboys look like the same team that they were last season. They have one of the best offenses in the NFL with a ton of talent that will put up lots of points in every game, but they haven't fixed much on defense. They had one of the worst defenses in the NFL last year and they once again have a terrible defense that continues to be their biggest issue. Now they are coming off a 24-16 loss to the Buccaneers in their last one and got embarrassed at home in prime time against a winless team. The Packers haven't looked that great to start the season either, but they are coming off a 31-7 win over the Bears in their last one and that big win over a divisional opponent will give them a lot of momentum going forward. Their offense looked a lot better as they are starting to figure things out and the defense also made a lot of improvement. The Packers have the edge being at home in this one and they will be looking to get the Cowboys back for a tie last season that felt a lot more like a Packers loss at the time. Look for the Packers to string together 2 good games at home with their better defense being a big factor. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 18, 2026 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Packers 27 Cowboys 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 0-6 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 10-16 ATS against conference opponents. 5-9 ATS after playing a game at home. 9-3 OVER as a road underdog. 13-3 OVER after playing a game at home.
Green Bay Packers: 7-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 5-2 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 4-1 ATS off a win against a division rival. 9-5 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-2 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: V. Miller (LB) Injured - Rest. A. Speed (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Houston (LB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Lamb (WR) Injured - Thigh. D. Overshown (LB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Porter Jr. (CB) Injured - Ankle. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Thumb. C. Durant (CB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Back. A. Clark (S) Injured - Hamstring. S. Revel Jr. (CB) Injured - Knee. D. Shelton (OT) Injured - Hamstring.
Green Bay Packers: J. Ford (DL) Injured - Calf. J. Hargrave (DL) Injured - Achilles. J. Monk (OG) Injured - Quadricep. S. Moore (WR) Injured - Ankle. E. Williams (S) Injured - Illness. S. Williams (WR) Injured - Ankle. A. Banks (OG) Injured - Knee. D. Wyatt (DL) Injured - Ankle. A. Campbell (DL) Injured - Ankle. K. Nixon (CB) Injured - Groin. J. Riley (DL) Injured - Achilles. B. St-Juste (CB) Injured - Hamstring. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“I didn’t plan on being 2-3, disappointed by that for sure. But we’re just getting started. There’s a lot of football left and we’re gonna play better. We know that.” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s loss against the Buccaneers in their last game.
“We kept our foot on the gas. (Coach) Matt (LaFleur) was dialing it up. That's what it needs to look like, right there.” - Jordan Love after their win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Lamb, CeeDee
WR Flournoy, Ryan
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Golden, Matthew
WR Moore, Skyy
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Lloyd, MarShawn
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (1,381)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (276)
Receiving: CeeDee Lamb (507)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (7)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (1,408)
Rushing: MarShawn Lloyd (112)
Receiving: Christian Watson (474)
Touchdowns: Christian Watson (6)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
