by Rod Pearson
Friday, Oct 24, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 26, 2025
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, Broncos -3.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, Broncos -3.5; Over/Under: 51 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, Broncos -3.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 3-3-1 (2nd place, NFC East)
Denver Broncos: 5-2 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys: won their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 44-22.
Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the New York Giants 33-32.
Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-3-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 44-22. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 264 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 1 TD. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Kenneth Murray Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kenneth Murray Jr., Shemar James, Donovan Ezeiruaku, and Jadeveon Clowney each led the defense in sacks with 1. Daron Bland came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 33-32. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 27/50 passes for 279 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing yards with 81. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Talanoa Hufanga led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jonathon Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Justin Strnad came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Cowboys vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3-1 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NFC East and in the division race. Their defense has looked terrible this season as they do give up a ton of points in their games, but their offense has looked great and is one of the best in the NFL. They are off a 44-22 win over the Commanders in their last one so they are going to have some momentum from that win, and as bad as their defense has been this season, their offense is always going to keep them in the game. Meanwhile, the Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West. They had a rough start to the season and have looked a lot better lately as they have been rolling with 4 wins in a row now, but they didn't look great in their last 2 games. They struggled to beat a terrible Jets team in London 13-11 and now they are off a 33-32 win over the Giants in their last one. They looked great in the 4th quarter to come back and win that one, but that win was more of an indictment on the Giants since they were shutting the Broncos out for 3 quarters. This Broncos offense has been really up and down all season with their defense keeping them in games and as good as their defense has been, this Cowboys offense will find ways to put up points. The Cowboys can definitely win this game with that offense and the Broncos won't be able to pull away even if they have a lead. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 26, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 27 Broncos 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 3-6 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 4-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 6-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 25-16 OVER in all games. 9-2 OVER after a win by 14 or more points.
Denver Broncos: 6-3 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 9-3 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 6-1 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game. 10-3 OVER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Glute. T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Concussion. K. Clark (DL) Injured - Elbow. K. Murray Jr. (LB) Injured - Ankle. D. Wilson (S) Injured - Elbow. D. Overshown (LB) Injured - Knee. M. Smith (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Mingo (WR) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Knee. J. Thomas (S) Injured - Migraine. C. Beebe (C) Injured - Ankle. C. Carson (CB) Injured - Hamstring. M. Kneeland (DL) Injured - Ankle. S. Revel Jr. (CB) Injured - Knee. A. Cornelius (OT) Injured - Knee.
Denver Broncos: M. McGlinchey (OT) Injured - Foot. J. Elliss (LB) Injured - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“At that point, that turned into our touchdown. It's whoever brings the ball in. Many more in the future.” - CeeDee Lamb after their win against the Commanders in their last game.
“I was proud we fought to get back in it. It's like we had to find a way to clean up our mess.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Lamb, CeeDee
WR Tolbert, Jalen
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Franklin, Troy
TE Engram, Evan
QB Nix, Bo
RB Dobbins, J.K.
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (1,881)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (592)
Receiving: George Pickens (607)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (7)
Denver Broncos
Passing: Bo Nix (1,556)
Rushing: J.K. Dobbins (523)
Receiving: Courtland Sutton (469)
Touchdowns: J.K. Dobbins (4)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
