Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, May 11, 2026

Venue:  Grand Casino Arena, St Paul, MN 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -125, Wild +105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -125, Wild +105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -125, Wild +105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  55-16-11 (1st place, Central Division)

Minnesota Wild:  46-24-12 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  9-1-0 last 10

Minnesota Wild:  6-3-1 last 10

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 121 points, a 55-16-11 record overall, and they were 29-7-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-1. Nathan MacKinnon scored 1 goal for them in that one. Gabriel Landeskog and Nazem Kadri each led the team in assists with 1 while Gabriel Landeskog led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 12 shots with 9 saves and a .750 sv percentage before getting replaced by Mackenzie Blackwood who allowed 1 goal on 13 shots with 12 saves and a .923 save percentage. Their offense has scored 302 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 203 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.

The Wild are entering the playoffs with 104 points, a 46-24-12 record overall, and they were 23-10-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one at home 5-1. Brock Faber, Kirill Kaprizov, Quinn Hughes, Matt Boldy, and Ryan Hartman each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brock Faber, Kirill Kaprizov, and Mats Zuccarello each led the team in assists with 2 while Matt Boldy led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jesper Wallstedt was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 36 shots with 35 saves and a .972 save percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 240 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Wild listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked great in their games this season with their 55-16-11 record overall which had them right at the top of their division in the West with the best record in the entire NHL. They have been a great road team too with their 29-7-5 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Wild have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-24-12 record overall which had them right in the top half of their division in the West. They have looked good on home ice too with their 23-10-8 home record this season. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Avalanche and the 3rd seeded Wild from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL playoffs. The Avalanche are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead after the Wild won game 3 by a score of 5-1. The Wild went down 2-0 in this series and didn't look great in those 2 road games, but they bounced back at home where they have looked great all season and they have their foot back in the door now. The Avalanche were undefeated in the playoffs up until that game, sweeping the Kings in the 1st round and winning those 2 home games to start this series, but they did have some close calls and the Wild did put up a fight against the Avalanche in the regular season. The Wild looked terrible in game 2, but they weren't that bad in the 9-6 loss in game 1 and now they have some momentum on their side with that win. The Wild definitely have the defensive talent to stifle the Avalanche like they did in game 3 and the Wild are still going to be playing with some desperation here, trying to avoid going back to Colorado facing elimination. Look for the Wild to have another great game defensively on home ice and make this a series by evening it up going back to Colorado. The best way to place a bet here is on the Wild to win this game. 

Avalanche Wild Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, May 11, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Wild 4 Avalanche 2.

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Colorado Avalanche: 45-41 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 70-60 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 112-76 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 6-3 OVER when leading in a playoff series.

Minnesota Wild: 76-74 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 27-23 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more. 27-22 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline against good defensive teams - opponents average 26.5 shots on goal or less. 28-21 OVER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp.

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Kiviranta (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Manson (D) Day To Day - Upper-body.

Minnesota Wild:  J. Eriksson Ek (C) Out - Lower Body. J. Brodin (D) Out - Lower Body.

“'Wedgy' was playing hard. Maybe he looked a little too aggressive on a couple of those. The penalty kill, ends up without a stick, getting aggressive, coming across. Then they find the back of the net. The next one, gets a piece of 'Toewser' (Devon Toews), I think it’s a pass, and it ends up in the empty net. He’s out too far.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s loss against the Wild in the 3rd game of this series on Saturday.  

“I thought Kirill was extremely competitive tonight and was on his game. It was good to see. When he does that, you can see the type of impact he has on the game. I think he was indicative of the team that we knew we had to be better in certain areas, but as I said to you guys over the last couple of days, there are lots of things we did like in the first couple of games we just didn't get rewarded for it and tonight we were able to do that. Hard-fought game, both teams were extremely competitive, but it's more indicative of that's the style of game that gives us the best chance to win." - John Hynes after his team’s win against the Avalanche in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G Scott Wedgewood

LW Kirill Kaprizov

C Ryan Hartman

RW Mats Zuccarello

LD Quinn Hughes

RD Brock Faber

G Jesper Wallstedt

Points: Nathan MacKinnon (127)

Goals: Nathan MacKinnon (53)

Assists: Nathan MacKinnon (74)

GAA: Scott Wedgewood (2.02)

Points: Kirill Kaprizov (89)

Goals: Kirill Kaprizov (45)

Assists: Quinn Hughes (48)

GAA: Jesper Wallstedt (2.61)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (10th season)

Minnesota Wild: John Hynes (3rd season)