College Hoops: Five Teams to Sell High

It’s only seven weeks until Selection Sunday in college hoops. The college football season is over. There is only one NFL game remaining. The focus on college hoops is intense this time of the year. Let’s take a look at five teams I think you should consider selling high on between now and the end of the season.

Miami Ohio (13-5 ATS) First, I’m rooting for Miami to keep their unbeaten streak alive. I love a good mid-major story, especially with a team that hasn’t had much success in recent seasons. Miami has played down to opponents several times lately, and I don’t want to lay a bunch of points with this squad. They are 12th at KenPom in luck factor. ShotQuality has them as the second luckiest team in the country. I’ll keep an eye on grabbing a bunch of points against Miami in the next few weeks. 

Eastern Michigan (14-6 ATS) I promise I won’t only put MAC teams in here. Eastern Michigan’s blowout loss at the hands of lowly Central Michigan on Tuesday night is a concern. Eastern Michigan has been a covering machine this year, but they aren’t nearly as good on offense as most MAC teams. The defense has been somewhat improved, but I’m not convinced they can keep carrying the load. Central Michigan put up 100 points on this team, and the Central Michigan offense is very weak. This is more of a gut feel than anything else.

UCF (10-10 ATS) They don’t have a great ATS record, but I think UCF is overachieving right now. They are the 11th luckiest team in the country according to KenPom. They are the 13th luckiest team in the country according to Shot Quality. They host Texas Tech, go to Houston, and then go to Cincinnati in their next three games. I think UCF (who sits 16-4 straight up this year) is due to start losing some games in the near future.

DePaul (14-5-1 ATS) DePaul is certainly better this year than they have been. I do think they are overvalued now though. The Big East is much weaker than it has been in recent seasons, but DePaul has a relatively tough upcoming schedule. Chris Holtmann’s team doesn’t have the firepower to play with the better teams in this league. Holtmann’s teams have historically played much worse in February and March too.

Northern Arizona (10-8 ATS) Northern Arizona is one of the worst offenses in a league where nearly everyone is excellent on the offensive end. They have been fortunate because a couple recent opponents have been without top players when Northern Arizona has been up against them. Even though they are 10-8 ATS, they have an average ATS margin of -2.8 points per game. This team is likely to be outscored by most of the teams in the Big Sky. I’ll look to fade.