College Football 5 Teams To Buy Low

by Kyle Hunter

Monday, Sep 29, 2025
I like to look at sports betting in a similar view as the stock market. I want to buy low and sell high. What teams do the marketplace in sports betting tend to hate? The teams who have performed worst ATS. Let’s look at five teams I would look to buy low in the right spots.

SMU Mustangs (0-4 ATS) The Mustangs were in the College Football Playoff last year. They did lose quite a few key part of that team, but they are still a highly talented team. SMU hasn’t covered so far this season. Jennings is still a strong quarterback, and the ACC isn’t a very good conference overall. I like how the schedule sets up for them in the month of October. 

Penn State Nittany Lions (0-4 ATS) It has been a really long time since a James Franklin team has been this far underwater on an against the spread basis. They played with their food a bit in the first few weeks, and then couldn’t quite complete the big comeback in their showdown with Oregon. Penn State now faces a couple weak teams from the Big Ten. History tells us Franklin is more than willing to run up the number in these games. I think that continues this season.

Virginia Tech Hokies (1-4 ATS) I really like what I saw from Virginia Tech last weekend in their first game with Phillip Montgomery as the head coach against an FBS team. The Hokies went on the road and picked up a nice win over the NC State Wolfpack. Virginia Tech isn’t a good team, so I certainly wouldn’t want to bet them as favorites. However, I do think they are better than they have shown this year, and as long as they continue to battle they could have value as an underdog.

Northern Illinois (1-3 ATS) The Northern Illinois Huskies are dreadful on offense, but once they get into MAC play I think their defense can help them cover some spreads. Thomas Hammock has been a tremendous underdog ATS head coach in past years, and I would expect the Huskies to have value in that role again in the MAC. Three of their next four games are against relatively weak teams in the MAC too. 

Air Force (1-3 ATS) Admittedly, Air Force has looked terrible in recent weeks. The defense has been dreadful, and it is hard to back them at this point. I do remember how strong they finished last season though. This week will tell us a lot when they take on Navy. If the defense continues to look terrible maybe this unit is just downright bad. Still, I think Troy Calhoun is a good coach and if the market is completely out on Air Force I could back them in some spots the rest of the way. 

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